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Serie A
Referee: M Mariani
Inter
S T S S S
1–0
Full-time
Udinese
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%
15 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Inter 2. · Udinese 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 3 2 1 0 +2 7
2 Inter 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Napoli 3 2 0 1 +2 6
4 Torino 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Lazio 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Genoa 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Verona 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Bologna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Sassuolo 2 1 0 1 +2 3
10 Parma 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Atalanta 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Milan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Brescia 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Udinese 2 1 0 1 -1 3
15 Roma 2 0 2 0 +0 2
16 Fiorentina 3 0 1 2 -2 1
17 Spal 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Cagliari 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Lecce 2 0 0 2 -5 0
20 Sampdoria 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Inter Udinese
Nicolò Barella 🟨
28′
35′
🟨 Rodrigo Becão
35′
🟥 Rodrigo De Paul
1–0 Stefano Sensi
Diego Godín
44′
Half-time 1–0
Roberto Gagliardini 🔁
↦ Nicolò Barella
46′
Lautaro Martínez 🔁
↦ Romelu Lukaku
65′
71′
🔁 Antonín Barák
↦ Mato Jajalo
Antonio Candreva 🟨
78′
Alexis Sánchez 🔁
↦ Matteo Politano
80′
81′
🔁 Ignacio Pussetto
↦ Ken Sema
81′
🔁 Rolando Mandragora
↦ Walace
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Inter

3-4-2-1
1 Samir Handanovič G
2 Diego Godín D
6 Stefan de Vrij D
37 Milan Škriniar D
87 Antonio Candreva M
23 Nicolò Barella M
77 Marcelo Brozović M
18 Kwadwo Asamoah M
16 Matteo Politano F
12 Stefano Sensi F
9 Romelu Lukaku F
Bench (12)
27 Daniele Padelli
21 Federico Dimarco
95 Alessandro Bastoni
33 Danilo D'Ambrosio
13 Andrea Ranocchia
34 Cristiano Biraghi
19 Valentino Lazaro
8 Matías Vecino
5 Roberto Gagliardini
20 Borja Valero
7 Alexis Sánchez
10 Lautaro Martínez

Coach: A. Conte

Udinese

3-5-1-1
1 Juan Musso G
50 Rodrigo Becão D
87 Sebastien De Maio D
4 Nicholas Opoku D
19 Jens Stryger Larsen M
8 Mato Jajalo M
11 Walace M
10 Rodrigo De Paul M
12 Ken Sema M
6 Seko Fofana F
15 Kevin Lasagna F
Bench (10)
88 Nicolas
27 Samuele Perisan
17 Bram Nuytinck
3 Samir
2 Francisco Sierralta
72 Antonín Barák
38 Rolando Mandragora
91 Łukasz Teodorczyk
30 Ilija Nestorovski
23 Ignacio Pussetto

Coach: I. Tudor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,33
U
5,29
B
9,27
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,67
U2,5 ✓
2,21
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.