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Primeira Liga

Referee: Artur Soares Dias

Moreirense

T U U S T

2–2

Full-time

Guimaraes

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Guimaraes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,7

3,2

Scored

0,5

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 12/11 matches

Win Ø 40%

25%

55%

Points per game

1,1

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 31%

25%

36%

Both score Ø 26%

33%

18%

Average goals

1,8

2,1

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%

7 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 5

19 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Moreirense 12. · Guimaraes 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	13	11	2	0	+22	35
2	Porto	13	10	1	2	+19	31
3	Benfica	13	10	1	2	+15	31
4	Sp Braga	13	9	0	4	+10	27
5	Pacos Ferreira	12	5	4	3	+3	19
6	Guimaraes	11	6	1	4	+3	19
7	Maritimo	13	4	2	7	-3	14
8	Santa Clara	12	4	2	6	-4	14
9	Rio Ave	13	3	5	5	-6	14
10	Gil Vicente	12	3	4	5	-3	13
11	Nacional	12	3	4	5	-4	13
12	Moreirense	12	3	4	5	-5	13
13	Belenenses	12	2	6	4	-3	12
14	Tondela	13	3	3	7	-12	12
15	Portimonense	13	3	2	8	-8	11
16	Famalicao	13	2	5	6	-10	11
17	Boavista	12	1	7	4	-8	10
18	Farense	12	2	3	7	-6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	7	6	0	1	+10	18
2	Benfica	7	6	0	1	+8	18
3	Sp Lisbon	6	5	1	0	+10	16
4	Sp Braga	6	5	0	1	+6	15
5	Pacos Ferreira	6	4	1	1	+4	13
6	Moreirense	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Tondela	7	3	2	2	-2	11
8	Nacional	7	2	3	2	-1	9
9	Farense	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Rio Ave	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Portimonense	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Gil Vicente	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Maritimo	6	2	2	2	+0	8
14	Belenenses	6	1	3	2	-1	6
15	Guimaraes	6	2	0	4	-5	6
16	Famalicao	7	1	3	3	-7	6
17	Santa Clara	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Boavista	5	1	1	3	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	7	6	1	0	+12	19
2	Porto	6	4	1	1	+9	13
3	Guimaraes	5	4	1	0	+8	13
4	Benfica	6	4	1	1	+7	13
5	Sp Braga	7	4	0	3	+4	12
6	Santa Clara	6	3	0	3	+0	9
7	Pacos Ferreira	6	1	3	2	-1	6
8	Boavista	7	0	6	1	-2	6
9	Belenenses	6	1	3	2	-2	6
10	Maritimo	7	2	0	5	-3	6
11	Rio Ave	7	1	3	3	-6	6
12	Famalicao	6	1	2	3	-3	5
13	Gil Vicente	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Nacional	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Portimonense	7	1	0	6	-8	3
16	Moreirense	6	0	2	4	-8	2
17	Farense	6	0	1	5	-7	1
18	Tondela	6	0	1	5	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.