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La Liga
Referee: César Soto
Osasuna
T T U U U
0–0
Full-time
Real Madrid
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Real Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
2,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,7
This season — La Liga · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 42%
19%
65%
Points per game
0,9
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
38%
41%
Both score Ø 52%
50%
53%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,8
Conceded
1,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

29% Possession 71%
8 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 3
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Osasuna 19. · Real Madrid 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 15 12 2 1 +23 38
2 Real Madrid 17 11 3 3 +15 36
3 Barcelona 18 10 4 4 +20 34
4 Villarreal 18 8 8 2 +9 32
5 Sociedad 19 8 6 5 +13 30
6 Sevilla 16 9 3 4 +8 30
7 Granada 17 7 3 7 -10 24
8 Celta 18 6 5 7 -6 23
9 Ath Bilbao 18 6 3 9 -1 21
10 Cadiz 17 5 5 7 -9 20
11 Betis 17 6 2 9 -11 20
12 Eibar 17 4 7 6 -2 19
13 Levante 16 4 6 6 -2 18
14 Alaves 17 4 6 7 -5 18
15 Valladolid 17 4 6 7 -8 18
16 Getafe 16 4 5 7 -5 17
17 Valencia 17 3 7 7 -2 16
18 Elche 15 3 7 5 -5 16
19 Osasuna 16 3 5 8 -10 14
20 Huesca 17 1 9 7 -12 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Osasuna Real Madrid
Half-time 0–0
66′
🔁 F. Valverde
↦ Asensio
75′
🔁 Isco
↦ L. Modrić
75′
🔁 M. Díaz
↦ E. Hazard
Jony 🔁
↦ Rubén García
77′
A. Budimir 🔁
↦ J. Calleri
78′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Osasuna

4-1-4-1
1 Sergio Herrera G
23 Aridane D
6 Oier M
3 Juan Cruz D
5 David García D
2 Nacho Vidal D
21 Iñigo Pérez M
10 Roberto Torres M
14 Rubén García M
27 Moncayola M
16 J. Calleri F
Bench (12)
7 Jony
17 A. Budimir
28 Javi Martínez
22 Raúl Navas
26 Iñaki Álvarez
18 Brandon
4 Unai García
29 Aimar Oroz
25 Juan Pérez
19 Enric Gallego
11 Kike Barja
12 F. Roncaglia

Coach: Arrasate

Real Madrid

4-3-3
1 T. Courtois G
4 Sergio Ramos D
5 R. Varane D
23 F. Mendy D
10 L. Modrić M
8 T. Kroos M
14 Casemiro M
17 Lucas Vázquez D
9 K. Benzema F
7 E. Hazard F
11 Asensio F
Bench (11)
15 F. Valverde
22 Isco
24 M. Díaz
21 M. Ødegaard
26 Diego Altube
19 Odriozola
12 Marcelo
6 Nacho
20 Vinícius Júnior
3 Éder Militão
13 A. Lunin

Coach: Z. Zidane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,80
U ✓
4,44
B
1,49
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,76
U2,5 ✓
2,07
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.