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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Heft
Hansa Rostock
T U T T T
2–1
Full-time
Elversberg
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hansa Rostock Elversberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,3
4,0
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
2,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 34%
28%
39%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
61%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 8
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 11
4 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hansa Rostock 17. · Elversberg 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 18 9 9 0 +18 36
2 Holstein Kiel 18 11 2 5 +9 35
3 Hamburg 18 10 4 4 +13 34
4 Greuther Furth 18 9 5 4 +8 32
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 18 9 4 5 +16 31
6 Hannover 19 7 7 5 +10 28
7 Paderborn 18 8 3 7 -1 27
8 Nurnberg 19 8 3 8 -9 27
9 Hertha 18 7 5 6 +7 26
10 Elversberg 18 7 4 7 -3 25
11 Karlsruhe 18 6 6 6 +1 24
12 Magdeburg 18 6 5 7 +3 23
13 Wehen 18 6 4 8 -4 22
14 Kaiserslautern 19 6 3 10 -7 21
15 Schalke 04 19 6 2 11 -9 20
16 Braunschweig 18 5 2 11 -14 17
17 Hansa Rostock 18 5 2 11 -14 17
18 Osnabruck 18 1 6 11 -24 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hansa Rostock Elversberg
-5′
🟨 Lukas Finn Pinckert
Damian Roßbach 🟨
13′
41′
L. Schnellbacher 0–1
H. Vandermersch
Half-time 1–1
1–1 D. Dressel
O. Hüsing
69′
S. Ingelsson 🔁
↦ J. van der Werff
70′
K. Schumacher 🔁
↦ J. Perea
70′
N. Fröling 🔁
↦ S. Singh
70′
80′
🔁 W. Faghir
↦ M. Feil
S. Guðjohnsen 🔁
↦ J. Bachmann
81′
88′
🟨 Wahid Faghir
89′
🔁 J. Boyamba
↦ J. Rochelt
91′
🟥 Frederik Jäkel
2–1 K. Pröger
92′
Kai Pröger 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Hugo Vandermersch
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hansa Rostock

4-2-3-1
1 M. Kolke G
34 J. Lang D
5 O. Hüsing D
4 D. Roßbach D
21 A. Rossipal D
22 J. van der Werff M
6 D. Dressel M
9 K. Pröger M
26 J. Bachmann M
28 S. Singh M
18 J. Perea F
Bench (9)
14 S. Ingelsson
13 K. Schumacher
10 N. Fröling
45 S. Guðjohnsen
11 S. Güler
8 S. Rhein
29 F. Ruschke
27 C. Kinsombi
23 N. Körber

Coach: M. Selimbegovic

Elversberg

4-2-3-1
20 N. Kristof G
18 H. Vandermersch D
23 C. Sickinger D
5 F. Jäkel D
33 M. Neubauer D
14 R. Fellhauer M
8 S. Şahin M
7 M. Feil M
17 P. Wanner M
10 J. Rochelt M
24 L. Schnellbacher F
Bench (9)
29 W. Faghir
22 J. Boyamba
19 L. Pinckert
25 S. Saftig
31 T. Jacobsen
9 D. Martinović
11 L. Dürholtz
21 P. Stock
28 T. Boss

Coach: H. Steffen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,83
U
3,57
B
2,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,14
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Heft · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.