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Premiership
Referee: C Steven
ST Johnstone
S T T U U
1–1
Full-time
Motherwell
U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 19%
19%
19%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
29%
52%
Both score Ø 50%
38%
62%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%
7 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
0 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 10. · Motherwell 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 22 17 3 2 +38 54
2 Rangers 22 17 1 4 +34 52
3 Hearts 22 12 3 7 +7 39
4 Kilmarnock 22 8 7 7 +1 31
5 St Mirren 23 8 5 10 -5 29
6 Dundee 20 6 7 7 -4 25
7 Hibernian 21 6 7 8 -6 25
8 Aberdeen 19 6 5 8 -7 23
9 Motherwell 21 4 8 9 -9 20
10 ST Johnstone 21 4 8 9 -14 20
11 Ross County 19 4 6 9 -12 18
12 Livingston 22 2 6 14 -23 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

ST Johnstone Motherwell
1–0 R. McGowan
3′
4′
🟨 Liam Kelly
29′
T. Bair 1–1
B. Spittal
D. Jaiyesimi 🔁
↦ L. Gordon
35′
45′
🟨 Davor Zdravkovski
Half-time 1–1
50′
🟨 Andy Halliday
N. Clark 🔁
↦ B. Mbunga Kimpioka
61′
C. Smith 🔁
↦ M. Kucheriavyi
61′
61′
🔁 L. Miller
↦ A. Halliday
Connor Smith 🟨
76′
81′
🔁 S. Nicholson
↦ D. Zdravkovski
S. Sprangler 🔁
↦ G. Carey
83′
Daniel Phillips 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

3-4-3
1 D. Mitov G
5 R. McGowan D
6 L. Gordon D
4 A. Considine D
33 D. Keltjens M
22 M. Smith M
34 D. Phillips M
19 L. Robinson M
11 G. Carey F
29 B. Mbunga Kimpioka F
15 M. Kucheriavyi F
Bench (9)
13 D. Jaiyesimi
10 N. Clark
50 C. Smith
23 S. Sprangler
46 F. Franczak
31 D. Richards
35 K. Smith
17 O. Olufunwa
3 T. Gallacher

Coach: C. Levein

Motherwell

3-4-2-1
1 L. Kelly G
5 B. Mugabi D
66 C. Butcher D
16 P. McGinn D
2 S. O'Donnell M
17 D. Zdravkovski M
11 A. Halliday M
3 G. Gent M
12 H. Paton F
7 B. Spittal F
14 T. Bair F
Bench (9)
38 L. Miller
19 S. Nicholson
20 S. Blaney
39 L. Ross
30 M. Ferrie
13 A. Oxborough
29 C. Elliot
42 M. Ross
37 D. Wells

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,51
U ✓
3,14
B
2,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,25
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Steven · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.