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Süper Lig
Referee: Y Uğurlu
Ad. Demirspor
S S T U T
1–0
Full-time
Hatayspor
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Hatayspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
This season — Süper Lig · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 46%
27%
64%
Points per game
1,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
55%
45%
Both score Ø 60%
64%
55%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
18 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 8
0 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 5
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 15. · Hatayspor 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 12 9 3 0 +13 30
2 Hatayspor 11 7 2 2 +12 23
3 Konyaspor 12 6 5 1 +8 23
4 Alanyaspor 12 6 3 3 -1 21
5 Besiktas 12 6 2 4 +6 20
6 Galatasaray 11 6 2 3 +3 20
7 Fenerbahce 11 6 1 4 +2 19
8 Buyuksehyr 12 6 0 6 +3 18
9 Karagumruk 11 5 3 3 +3 18
10 Altay 12 5 1 6 -1 16
11 Gaziantep 12 4 3 5 -2 15
12 Antalyaspor 12 4 3 5 -3 15
13 Kayserispor 11 4 2 5 -3 14
14 Sivasspor 12 2 7 3 +2 13
15 Ad. Demirspor 11 3 4 4 -1 13
16 Yeni Malatyaspor 12 4 0 8 -10 12
17 Giresunspor 12 2 4 6 -5 10
18 Kasimpasa 12 2 3 7 -6 9
19 Goztep 12 2 3 7 -7 9
20 Rizespor 12 2 1 9 -13 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ad. Demirspor Hatayspor
Samet Akaydın 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
52′
🟨 Mame Biram Diouf
1–0 Y. Akgün
M. Vargas
64′
Yunus Akgün 🟨
66′
68′
🔁 M. Kamara
↦ S. Lobzhanidze
M. Mimaroğlu 🔁
↦ M. Vargas
73′
B. Assombalonga 🔁
↦ M. Balotelli
73′
75′
🔁 D. Saint-Louis
↦ A. El Kaabi
75′
🔁 M. Mert
↦ N. Traoré
S. Güler 🔁
↦ Y. Akgün
85′
88′
🔁 E. Çolak
↦ M. Boudjemaa
Birkir Bjarnason 🔁
↦ D. Akintola
90′
T. Çamdal 🔁
↦ J. Svensson
90′
Semih Güler 🟨
95′
95′
🟨 Mohammed Kesselly Kamara
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ad. Demirspor

4-2-3-1
49 A. Murić G
22 J. Svensson D
91 S. Deli D
5 S. Akaydin D
95 J. Rassoul D
90 B. Stambouli M
8 S. Kurt M
77 M. Vargas M
11 D. Akintola M
9 M. Balotelli F
23 Y. Akgün M
Bench (10)
17 M. Mimaroğlu
7 B. Assombalonga
4 S. Güler
67 Birkir Bjarnason
20 T. Çamdal
88 G. İnler
2 T. Sanuç
16 İ. Çelik
6 K. Kanak
35 F. Kaplan

Coach: V. Montella

Hatayspor

4-3-3
1 M. Mohamedi G
12 K. Çörekçi D
23 S. Adekugbe D
53 B. Öksüz D
22 F. Kurucuk D
7 Rúben Ribeiro M
11 S. Lobzhanidze F
17 N. Traoré M
8 M. Boudjemaa M
92 M. Diouf F
25 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (10)
20 M. Kamara
95 D. Saint-Louis
19 M. Mert
10 E. Çolak
6 S. Falette
77 S. Baş
2 B. Çamoglu
61 B. Cevahir
87 E. Fansa
31 A. Yiğiter

Coach: Ö. Erdoğan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,41
U
3,43
B
2,81
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,73
U2,5 ✓
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Y Uğurlu · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.