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Premiership

Referee: G Irvine

Kilmarnock

U S S U T

2–2

Full-time

Hibernian

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Hibernian

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,2

This season — Premiership · 22/21 matches

Win Ø 33%

36%

29%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

45%

57%

Both score Ø 49%

50%

48%

Average goals

2,1

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%

12 Shots 15

1 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kilmarnock 4. · Hibernian 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	22	17	3	2	+38	54
2	Rangers	22	17	1	4	+34	52
3	Hearts	22	12	3	7	+7	39
4	Kilmarnock	22	8	7	7	+1	31
5	St Mirren	23	8	5	10	-5	29
6	Dundee	20	6	7	7	-4	25
7	Hibernian	21	6	7	8	-6	25
8	Aberdeen	19	6	5	8	-7	23
9	Motherwell	21	4	8	9	-9	20
10	ST Johnstone	21	4	8	9	-14	20
11	Ross County	19	4	6	9	-12	18
12	Livingston	22	2	6	14	-23	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	11	8	2	1	+18	26
2	Rangers	10	8	0	2	+15	24
3	Kilmarnock	11	6	3	2	+6	21
4	Hearts	11	5	3	3	+2	18
5	St Mirren	12	5	3	4	+1	18
6	ST Johnstone	11	4	4	3	-2	16
7	Hibernian	11	3	4	4	-1	13
8	Motherwell	11	3	3	5	-3	12
9	Dundee	9	3	3	3	-3	12
10	Aberdeen	9	3	2	4	-2	11
11	Ross County	10	3	2	5	-4	11
12	Livingston	11	1	4	6	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	11	9	1	1	+20	28
2	Rangers	12	9	1	2	+19	28
3	Hearts	11	7	0	4	+5	21
4	Dundee	11	3	4	4	-1	13
5	Hibernian	10	3	3	4	-5	12
6	Aberdeen	10	3	3	4	-5	12
7	St Mirren	11	3	2	6	-6	11
8	Kilmarnock	11	2	4	5	-5	10
9	Motherwell	10	1	5	4	-6	8
10	Ross County	9	1	4	4	-8	7
11	Livingston	11	1	2	8	-13	5
12	ST Johnstone	10	0	4	6	-12	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.