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Serie B
Referee: G Collu
Como
T U S S U
0–2
Full-time
Ascoli
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Como Ascoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
1,8
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 36%
52%
19%
Points per game
1,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
57%
38%
Both score Ø 50%
52%
48%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
9 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Como 2. · Ascoli 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 21 13 6 2 +23 45
2 Como 21 11 6 4 +8 39
3 Cremonese 21 11 5 5 +14 38
4 Venezia 21 11 5 5 +11 38
5 Palermo 22 10 6 6 +9 36
6 Cittadella 21 10 6 5 +5 36
7 Catanzaro 22 10 4 8 +3 34
8 Brescia 21 7 8 6 +1 29
9 Modena 21 7 7 7 -6 28
10 Bari 21 5 12 4 +0 27
11 Pisa 21 6 8 7 -1 26
12 Reggiana 21 5 10 6 -3 25
13 Sampdoria 21 7 4 10 -6 25
14 Sudtirol 21 6 6 9 -1 24
15 Cosenza 21 6 6 9 -1 24
16 Ternana 21 5 6 10 -4 21
17 Lecco 21 5 5 11 -13 20
18 Ascoli 21 4 7 10 -7 19
19 FeralpiSalo 21 4 5 12 -16 17
20 Spezia 21 3 8 10 -16 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Como Ascoli
8′
🟨 Giuseppe Bellusci
Álex Blanco 🔁
↦ S. Verdi
14′
Oliver Abildgaard 🟨
33′
34′
🟨 Samuel Giovane
Half-time 0–0
Alessandro Gabrielloni ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
47′
Alessandro Bellemo 🟨
51′
J. Nsame 🔁
↦ P. Cutrone
53′
Cas Odenthal 🟥
60′
Cas Odenthal ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
60′
62′
🟨 Luca Valzania
66′
🔁 J. Streng
↦ Pablo Rodríguez
66′
🔁 S. D'Uffizi
↦ S. Giovane
D. Baselli 🔁
↦ A. Gabrielloni
67′
M. Chajia 🔁
↦ A. Bellemo
67′
T. Cassandro 🔁
↦ Álex Blanco
67′
76′
🟨 Jeremiah Streng
82′
Pedro Mendes 0–1
M. Falzerano
87′
🔁 R. Gagliolo
↦ L. Valzania
87′
🔁 Y. Maiga
↦ R. Celia
89′
T. Cassandro 1–1
own goal
91′
🔁 D. Quaranta
↦ S. Väisänen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Como

4-3-1-2
1 A. Šemper G
5 M. Curto D
26 C. Odenthal D
93 F. Barba D
3 M. Sala D
28 O. Abildgaard M
14 A. Bellemo M
33 L. da Cunha M
90 S. Verdi M
10 P. Cutrone F
9 A. Gabrielloni F
Bench (11)
11 Álex Blanco
77 J. Nsame
8 D. Baselli
7 M. Chajia
84 T. Cassandro
4 M. Solini
6 A. Iovine
23 N. Gioacchini
22 M. Vigorito
12 P. Bolchini
44 N. Ioannou

Coach: O. Roberts

Ascoli

3-5-2
2 E. Viviano G
55 G. Bellusci D
33 Eric Botteghin D
16 S. Väisänen D
23 M. Falzerano M
41 L. Valzania M
18 F. Di Tacchio M
8 S. Giovane M
13 R. Celia M
99 Pablo Rodríguez F
90 Pedro Mendes F
Bench (12)
11 J. Streng
15 S. D'Uffizi
5 R. Gagliolo
94 Y. Maiga
14 D. Quaranta
10 F. Caligara
12 L. Bolletta
20 T. Milanese
28 G. Manzari
32 D. Vásquez
30 I. Nestorovski
17 C. Adjapong

Coach: F. Castori

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,82
U
3,42
B ✓
4,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,17
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Collu · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.