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Süper Lig

Referee: D Tonusluoğlu

Besiktas

S T T T U

1–1

Full-time

Samsunspor

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Samsunspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 39%

45%

32%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

45%

42%

Both score Ø 47%

42%

52%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,98 xG 1,01

52% Possession 48%

17 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

0 Corners 2

1 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Besiktas 4. · Samsunspor 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	31	27	3	1	+49	+41.0	84
2	Fenerbahce	31	26	4	1	+56	+53.3	82
3	Trabzonspor	32	16	4	12	+12	+2.6	52
4	Besiktas	31	14	5	12	+4	+9.9	47
5	Kasimpasa	32	13	7	12	-2	-9.4	46
6	Rizespor	31	13	6	12	-7	-3.3	45
7	Sivasspor	32	11	11	10	-5	-5.2	44
8	Buyuksehyr	31	12	7	12	+3	-0.6	43
9	Antalyaspor	31	10	12	9	+2	+0.4	42
10	Alanyaspor	31	10	12	9	-1	+3.8	42
11	Ad. Demirspor	31	9	12	10	+5	-2.0	39
12	Kayserispor	31	10	9	12	-9	-8.3	39
13	Ankaragücü	32	8	13	11	-1	-4.7	37
14	Samsunspor	31	10	7	14	-6	+3.7	37
15	Konyaspor	32	8	12	12	-11	-9.7	36
16	Hatayspor	31	7	12	12	-5	-5.8	33
17	Gaziantep	32	8	7	17	-15	-14.9	31
18	Karagumruk	31	7	9	15	-5	-14.0	30
19	Pendikspor	31	7	9	15	-27	-11.4	30
20	İstanbulspor	31	3	7	21	-37	-25.4	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	16	16	0	0	+29	+28.8	48
2	Fenerbahce	16	12	3	1	+29	+30.7	39
3	Rizespor	16	10	3	3	+10	+5.5	33
4	Ad. Demirspor	15	9	3	3	+15	+6.4	30
5	Samsunspor	16	9	3	4	+9	+5.5	30
6	Trabzonspor	16	9	1	6	+6	+5.3	28
7	Buyuksehyr	16	8	3	5	+7	+1.0	27
8	Besiktas	15	8	2	5	+7	+6.4	26
9	Antalyaspor	16	6	8	2	+3	+1.9	26
10	Ankaragücü	17	6	7	4	+3	+2.0	25
11	Karagumruk	15	6	6	3	+12	-0.7	24
12	Alanyaspor	15	6	6	3	+4	+4.7	24
13	Kayserispor	16	6	6	4	+3	+1.9	24
14	Hatayspor	15	5	7	3	+5	-1.1	22
15	Sivasspor	15	5	7	3	+3	+3.3	22
16	Kasimpasa	16	6	4	6	-3	-5.4	22
17	Konyaspor	15	5	4	6	+1	+2.1	19
18	Pendikspor	15	5	3	7	-9	-6.1	18
19	Gaziantep	16	4	5	7	-7	-7.9	17
20	İstanbulspor	16	2	3	11	-21	-15.4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	15	14	1	0	+27	+22.6	43
2	Galatasaray	15	11	3	1	+20	+12.3	36
3	Trabzonspor	16	7	3	6	+6	-2.7	24
4	Kasimpasa	16	7	3	6	+1	-4.0	24
5	Sivasspor	17	6	4	7	-8	-8.5	22
6	Besiktas	16	6	3	7	-3	+3.5	21
7	Alanyaspor	16	4	6	6	-5	-0.8	18
8	Konyaspor	17	3	8	6	-12	-11.8	17
9	Antalyaspor	15	4	4	7	-1	-1.5	16
10	Buyuksehyr	15	4	4	7	-4	-1.6	16
11	Kayserispor	15	4	3	8	-12	-10.2	15
12	Gaziantep	16	4	2	10	-8	-7.0	14
13	Ankaragücü	15	2	6	7	-4	-6.7	12
14	Rizespor	15	3	3	9	-17	-8.8	12
15	Pendikspor	16	2	6	8	-18	-5.2	12
16	Hatayspor	16	2	5	9	-10	-4.7	11
17	Ad. Demirspor	16	0	9	7	-10	-8.4	9
18	Samsunspor	15	1	4	10	-15	-1.7	7
19	İstanbulspor	15	1	4	10	-16	-10.1	7
20	Karagumruk	16	1	3	12	-17	-13.3	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.