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Süper Lig

Referee: M Metoğlu

Samsunspor

T S S S S

2–2

Full-time

Fenerbahce

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Samsunspor Fenerbahce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 8/7 matches

Win Ø 73%

75%

71%

Points per game

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

38%

57%

Both score Ø 27%

25%

29%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

1,8

2,3

Conceded

0,9

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+1,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,83 xG 1,37

56% Possession 44%

11 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 2

5 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 9

6 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Samsunspor 3. · Fenerbahce 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	9	8	1	0	+19	+6.4	25
2	Besiktas	8	6	2	0	+12	+8.4	20
3	Samsunspor	8	6	0	2	+7	+4.4	18
4	Fenerbahce	7	5	1	1	+11	+9.9	16
5	Eyüpspor	9	4	3	2	+4	+0.9	15
6	Buyuksehyr	8	4	2	2	+4	+0.3	14
7	Goztep	8	3	3	2	+4	+0.1	12
8	Trabzonspor	8	2	6	0	+2	-0.6	12
9	Sivasspor	9	3	2	4	-2	-6.0	11
10	Konyaspor	9	3	2	4	-3	-1.2	11
11	Bodrumspor	8	3	1	4	-2	+0.3	10
12	Alanyaspor	8	2	3	3	-3	+0.6	9
13	Kasimpasa	8	1	5	2	-2	+2.5	8
14	Antalyaspor	9	2	2	5	-9	-6.8	8
15	Rizespor	8	2	1	5	-11	-3.8	7
16	Gaziantep	8	1	3	4	-4	-2.0	6
17	Kayserispor	8	0	5	3	-7	-4.3	5
18	Hatayspor	8	0	3	5	-7	-6.1	3
19	Ad. Demirspor	8	0	1	7	-13	-3.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	5	4	1	0	+9	+7.3	13
2	Besiktas	4	4	0	0	+7	+5.7	12
3	Goztep	4	3	1	0	+6	-0.1	10
4	Eyüpspor	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.2	10
5	Trabzonspor	4	2	2	0	+2	-0.5	8
6	Buyuksehyr	3	2	1	0	+5	+1.2	7
7	Sivasspor	5	2	1	2	+0	-2.4	7
8	Antalyaspor	5	2	1	2	-3	-3.7	7
9	Bodrumspor	4	2	0	2	+2	+0.9	6
10	Fenerbahce	3	2	0	1	+2	+5.1	6
11	Alanyaspor	4	1	3	0	+1	+0.8	6
12	Samsunspor	4	2	0	2	+0	+2.3	6
13	Konyaspor	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.8	5
14	Rizespor	5	1	1	3	-6	-1.3	4
15	Kasimpasa	5	0	3	2	-3	+1.0	3
16	Gaziantep	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.4	2
17	Kayserispor	4	0	2	2	-4	-2.1	2
18	Hatayspor	4	0	2	2	-4	-2.7	2
19	Ad. Demirspor	4	0	0	4	-9	-1.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	4	4	0	0	+10	-0.9	12
2	Samsunspor	4	4	0	0	+7	+2.1	12
3	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	0	+9	+4.8	10
4	Besiktas	4	2	2	0	+5	+2.8	8
5	Buyuksehyr	5	2	1	2	-1	-0.9	7
6	Konyaspor	5	2	0	3	-3	-3.0	6
7	Kasimpasa	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.5	5
8	Eyüpspor	5	1	2	2	-1	-0.3	5
9	Trabzonspor	4	0	4	0	+0	-0.1	4
10	Sivasspor	4	1	1	2	-2	-3.5	4
11	Gaziantep	5	1	1	3	-3	-1.6	4
12	Bodrumspor	4	1	1	2	-4	-0.6	4
13	Kayserispor	4	0	3	1	-3	-2.2	3
14	Alanyaspor	4	1	0	3	-4	-0.2	3
15	Rizespor	3	1	0	2	-5	-2.5	3
16	Goztep	4	0	2	2	-2	+0.2	2
17	Hatayspor	4	0	1	3	-3	-3.4	1
18	Ad. Demirspor	4	0	1	3	-4	-1.8	1
19	Antalyaspor	4	0	1	3	-6	-3.1	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.