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Süper Lig

Referee: A Akarsu

Ad. Demirspor

U T T T T

1–3

Full-time

Samsunspor

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Samsunspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

0,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

2,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

71%

Points per game

0,1

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

71%

29%

Both score Ø 43%

71%

14%

Average goals

3,3

2,4

Scored

0,9

1,6

Conceded

2,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

-1,6

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,29 xG 1,14

44% Possession 56%

14 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 5

8 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 19. · Samsunspor 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	7	6	1	0	+15	+3.7	19
2	Fenerbahce	7	5	1	1	+11	+9.9	16
3	Besiktas	6	5	1	0	+10	+5.8	16
4	Samsunspor	7	5	0	2	+5	+4.5	15
5	Buyuksehyr	7	4	2	1	+5	+0.9	14
6	Goztep	7	3	3	1	+5	-0.1	12
7	Eyüpspor	8	3	3	2	+3	+1.1	12
8	Konyaspor	8	3	2	3	-1	+0.5	11
9	Bodrumspor	8	3	1	4	-2	+0.3	10
10	Trabzonspor	7	1	6	0	+1	-1.2	9
11	Alanyaspor	7	2	3	2	-2	+1.4	9
12	Kasimpasa	8	1	5	2	-2	+2.5	8
13	Sivasspor	8	2	2	4	-3	-5.6	8
14	Antalyaspor	8	2	2	4	-6	-4.9	8
15	Rizespor	8	2	1	5	-11	-3.8	7
16	Gaziantep	6	1	1	4	-4	-1.1	4
17	Kayserispor	7	0	4	3	-7	-4.4	4
18	Hatayspor	7	0	3	4	-6	-6.5	3
19	Ad. Demirspor	7	0	1	6	-11	-3.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	4	3	1	0	+8	+6.5	10
2	Goztep	4	3	1	0	+6	-0.1	10
3	Besiktas	3	3	0	0	+5	+4.0	9
4	Buyuksehyr	3	2	1	0	+5	+1.2	7
5	Eyüpspor	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.3	7
6	Antalyaspor	4	2	1	1	+0	-1.8	7
7	Bodrumspor	4	2	0	2	+2	+0.9	6
8	Fenerbahce	3	2	0	1	+2	+5.1	6
9	Alanyaspor	4	1	3	0	+1	+0.8	6
10	Samsunspor	4	2	0	2	+0	+2.3	6
11	Trabzonspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.1	5
12	Konyaspor	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.8	5
13	Sivasspor	4	1	1	2	-1	-2.1	4
14	Rizespor	5	1	1	3	-6	-1.3	4
15	Kasimpasa	5	0	3	2	-3	+1.0	3
16	Hatayspor	4	0	2	2	-4	-2.7	2
17	Gaziantep	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.5	1
18	Kayserispor	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.1	1
19	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	0	3	-7	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	0	+9	+4.8	10
2	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+7	-2.7	9
3	Samsunspor	3	3	0	0	+5	+2.2	9
4	Besiktas	3	2	1	0	+5	+1.9	7
5	Buyuksehyr	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.2	7
6	Konyaspor	4	2	0	2	-1	-1.2	6
7	Kasimpasa	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.5	5
8	Eyüpspor	5	1	2	2	-1	-0.3	5
9	Trabzonspor	4	0	4	0	+0	-0.1	4
10	Sivasspor	4	1	1	2	-2	-3.5	4
11	Bodrumspor	4	1	1	2	-4	-0.6	4
12	Gaziantep	4	1	0	3	-3	-1.5	3
13	Alanyaspor	3	1	0	2	-3	+0.6	3
14	Kayserispor	4	0	3	1	-3	-2.2	3
15	Rizespor	3	1	0	2	-5	-2.5	3
16	Goztep	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.0	2
17	Hatayspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.7	1
18	Ad. Demirspor	4	0	1	3	-4	-1.8	1
19	Antalyaspor	4	0	1	3	-6	-3.1	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.