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Süper Lig
Referee: K Sağlam
Besiktas
T T U U S
0–0
Full-time
Samsunspor
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Samsunspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 53%
44%
61%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
44%
50%
Both score Ø 53%
67%
39%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,25 xG 0,63
66% Possession 34%
24 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Besiktas 6. · Samsunspor 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 19 16 3 0 +30 +20.0 51
2 Fenerbahce 18 13 3 2 +27 +20.9 42
3 Samsunspor 18 11 3 4 +14 +11.2 36
4 Goztep 18 9 4 5 +14 +7.8 31
5 Eyüpspor 18 8 6 4 +10 -1.3 30
6 Besiktas 18 8 6 4 +8 +6.1 30
7 Buyuksehyr 19 8 5 6 +6 +7.5 29
8 Gaziantep 19 7 5 7 -1 -4.5 26
9 Rizespor 19 7 3 9 -10 +5.4 24
10 Trabzonspor 18 5 7 6 +6 -2.8 22
11 Alanyaspor 18 5 7 6 -2 +1.3 22
12 Kasimpasa 18 4 9 5 -6 -3.0 21
13 Antalyaspor 18 6 3 9 -16 -11.7 21
14 Konyaspor 18 5 5 8 -7 -7.7 20
15 Sivasspor 18 5 5 8 -7 -12.9 20
16 Bodrumspor 19 4 4 11 -11 -4.8 16
17 Kayserispor 18 3 7 8 -17 -7.1 16
18 Hatayspor 19 1 7 11 -15 -13.2 10
19 Ad. Demirspor 18 2 2 14 -23 -11.2 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Besiktas Samsunspor
2′
🟨 Rick Van Drongelen
Half-time 0–0
E. Muçi 🔁
↦ João Mário
60′
64′
🟨 Rick Van Drongelen
64′
🟥 Rick Van Drongelen
67′
🔁 Y. Çift
↦ A. Muja
75′
🔁 E. Kara
↦ M. Mouandilmadji
75′
🔁 L. Dimata
↦ O. Ntcham
S. Kılıçsoy 🔁
↦ Al Musrati
82′
86′
🔁 C. Yüksel
↦ C. Holse
87′
🔁 S. Gönül
↦ E. Kılınç
89′
🟨 Landry Dimata
96′
🟨 Soner Gönül
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
34 M. Günok G
2 J. Svensson D
53 E. Topçu D
14 F. Uduokhai D
26 A. Masuaku D
6 Al Musrati M
83 Gedson Fernandes M
7 M. Rashica M
18 João Mário M
27 Rafa M
17 C. Immobile F
Bench (10)
23 E. Muçi
9 S. Kılıçsoy
73 C. Ndour
8 S. Uçan
77 C. Keleş
91 M. Hekimoğlu
4 O. Bulut
30 E. Destanoğlu
19 A. Kılıç
15 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain

Coach: S. Topraktepe

Samsunspor

4-2-3-1
1 O. Kocuk G
17 K. Schindler D
37 Ľ. Šatka D
4 R. van Drongelen D
16 M. Bola D
21 C. Holse M
6 Y. Bennasser M
7 A. Muja M
10 O. Ntcham M
11 E. Kılınç M
9 M. Mouandilmadji F
Bench (10)
55 Y. Çift
29 E. Kara
14 L. Dimata
5 C. Yüksel
28 S. Gönül
8 S. Aydoğdu
45 H. Yeral
2 Nanu
27 G. Laura
20 M. Özbaskıcı

Coach: T. Reis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,11
U ✓
3,56
B
3,20
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
1,99
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Sağlam · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.