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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero

Leganes

S T S U S

1–0

Full-time

Ath Madrid

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

1,7

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

2,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 45%

21%

68%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

37%

42%

Both score Ø 45%

47%

42%

Average goals

2,5

2,4

Scored

0,9

1,8

Conceded

1,5

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,41 xG 2,42

32% Possession 68%

9 Shots 19

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 9

2 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leganes 16. · Ath Madrid 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	19	13	5	1	+22	+17.4	44
2	Real Madrid	19	13	4	2	+24	+16.5	43
3	Barcelona	19	12	2	5	+29	+21.6	38
4	Ath Bilbao	19	10	6	3	+12	+7.7	36
5	Villarreal	19	8	6	5	+3	+10.5	30
6	Mallorca	19	9	3	7	-2	+0.4	30
7	Sociedad	19	8	4	7	+4	+3.1	28
8	Girona	20	8	4	8	+1	+3.9	28
9	Sevilla	20	7	5	8	-6	-3.8	26
10	Vallecano	19	6	7	6	+0	-2.9	25
11	Betis	19	6	7	6	-2	+5.2	25
12	Osasuna	19	6	7	6	-5	-8.3	25
13	Celta	19	7	3	9	-2	+7.4	24
14	Las Palmas	19	6	4	9	-5	-14.6	22
15	Getafe	19	4	7	8	-3	-3.7	19
16	Leganes	19	4	7	8	-11	-16.1	19
17	Espanol	20	5	4	11	-13	-15.9	19
18	Alaves	19	4	5	10	-10	-4.4	17
19	Valladolid	20	4	3	13	-25	-15.2	15
20	Valencia	19	2	7	10	-11	-8.9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	10	8	2	0	+14	+18.0	26
2	Real Madrid	9	8	0	1	+15	+12.3	24
3	Ath Bilbao	10	6	3	1	+9	+4.4	21
4	Celta	10	6	2	2	+8	+5.6	20
5	Osasuna	10	5	3	2	+4	+2.6	18
6	Espanol	11	5	3	3	+2	-3.4	18
7	Sevilla	10	5	2	3	+0	+1.5	17
8	Girona	10	5	1	4	+4	+6.3	16
9	Betis	9	4	4	1	+4	+11.1	16
10	Barcelona	8	5	0	3	+12	+15.2	15
11	Mallorca	10	4	3	3	-2	-3.1	15
12	Getafe	10	3	5	2	+3	+4.0	14
13	Sociedad	10	4	2	4	+1	+3.2	14
14	Villarreal	9	3	4	2	+1	+3.1	13
15	Vallecano	9	3	3	3	+0	+2.9	12
16	Las Palmas	10	3	3	4	-1	-4.2	12
17	Alaves	9	3	3	3	-1	-1.2	12
18	Valladolid	10	3	3	4	-5	-5.6	12
19	Leganes	9	3	1	5	-7	-4.4	10
20	Valencia	9	2	3	4	+0	-1.5	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	7	2	2	+17	+6.4	23
2	Real Madrid	10	5	4	1	+9	+4.2	19
3	Ath Madrid	9	5	3	1	+8	-0.6	18
4	Villarreal	10	5	2	3	+2	+7.4	17
5	Ath Bilbao	9	4	3	2	+3	+3.3	15
6	Mallorca	9	5	0	4	+0	+3.5	15
7	Sociedad	9	4	2	3	+3	-0.1	14
8	Vallecano	10	3	4	3	+0	-5.8	13
9	Girona	10	3	3	4	-3	-2.4	12
10	Las Palmas	9	3	1	5	-4	-10.3	10
11	Leganes	10	1	6	3	-4	-11.6	9
12	Sevilla	10	2	3	5	-6	-5.3	9
13	Betis	10	2	3	5	-6	-5.9	9
14	Osasuna	9	1	4	4	-9	-10.8	7
15	Getafe	9	1	2	6	-6	-7.7	5
16	Alaves	10	1	2	7	-9	-3.2	5
17	Celta	9	1	1	7	-10	+1.8	4
18	Valencia	10	0	4	6	-11	-7.4	4
19	Valladolid	10	1	0	9	-20	-9.6	3
20	Espanol	9	0	1	8	-15	-12.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.