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Serie B
Referee: G Ayroldi
Salernitana
T U T T T
2–1
Full-time
Reggiana
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Reggiana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 24%
19%
29%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
43%
33%
Both score Ø 45%
52%
38%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
21 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Salernitana 20. · Reggiana 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 21 15 4 2 +25 49
2 Pisa 21 13 5 3 +16 44
3 Spezia 21 10 9 2 +16 39
4 Cremonese 21 9 6 6 +8 33
5 Juve Stabia 21 7 9 5 -1 30
6 Cesena 22 8 5 9 +0 29
7 Catanzaro 21 5 13 3 +4 28
8 Bari 21 6 10 5 +4 28
9 Palermo 21 7 6 8 +3 27
10 Carrarese 21 7 6 8 -3 27
11 Modena 21 5 10 6 -1 25
12 Reggiana 21 6 7 8 -2 25
13 Cittadella 21 6 7 8 -12 25
14 Brescia 21 5 9 7 -3 24
15 Mantova 21 5 9 7 -4 24
16 Cosenza 21 4 10 7 -4 22
17 Sampdoria 22 4 9 9 -8 21
18 Frosinone 21 4 8 9 -13 20
19 Sudtirol 21 5 4 12 -14 19
20 Salernitana 21 4 6 11 -11 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salernitana Reggiana
36′
🟨 Tobías Reinhart
Alberto Cerri 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 L. Vido
↦ C. Gondo
50′
ℹ️ Lorenzo Ignacchiti
VAR: Card upgrade
51′
🟥 Lorenzo Ignacchiti
Franco Tongya 🟨
53′
60′
🟨 Manolo Portanova
62′
L. Vido 0–1
J. Braaf 🔁
↦ A. Raimondo
63′
F. Caligara 🔁
↦ J. Reine-Adélaïde
63′
D. Verde 🔁
↦ F. Tongya
68′
72′
🔁 J. Kumi
↦ M. Portanova
D. Bronn 🔁
↦ L. Lochoshvili
73′
73′
🔁 M. Marras
↦ A. Vergara
75′
🟨 Justin Kumi
1–1 A. Cerri
D. Verde
76′
79′
🔁 J. Sosa
↦ R. Fiamozzi
80′
🟨 Francesco Bardi
Fabrizio Caligara 🟨
83′
90′
🔁 E. Kabashi
↦ T. Reinhart
2–1 A. Cerri
100′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Salernitana

3-5-2
55 L. Sepe G
13 F. Ruggeri D
33 G. Ferrari D
47 L. Lochoshvili D
30 P. Stojanović M
19 J. Reine-Adélaïde M
73 L. Amatucci M
7 F. Tongya M
17 L. Njoh M
99 A. Raimondo F
90 A. Cerri F
Bench (12)
24 J. Braaf
18 F. Caligara
31 D. Verde
15 D. Bronn
29 P. Ghiglione
44 P. Jaroszyński
1 V. Fiorillo
21 R. Soriano
27 J. Guasone
72 S. Girelli
25 G. Maggiore
16 T. Corazza

Coach: R. Breda

Reggiana

4-3-3
22 F. Bardi G
15 R. Fiamozzi D
31 M. Sampirisi D
13 A. Meroni D
17 L. Libutti D
5 A. Sersanti M
16 T. Reinhart M
25 L. Ignacchiti M
30 A. Vergara F
11 C. Gondo F
90 M. Portanova F
Bench (12)
10 L. Vido
55 J. Kumi
7 M. Marras
3 J. Sosa
77 E. Kabashi
6 L. Štulac
99 A. Sposito
27 M. Maggio
24 A. Fontanarosa
23 S. Pettinari
87 Y. Nahounou
8 L. Cigarini

Coach: W. Viali

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,03
U
3,13
B
3,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,31
U2,5
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Ayroldi · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.