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Pro League

Referee: E Lambrechts

Dender

T S T S U

0–1

Full-time

Cercle Brugge

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dender Cercle Brugge

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 15/16 matches

Win Ø 32%

33%

31%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

67%

44%

Both score Ø 49%

67%

31%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,28 xG 2,35

41% Possession 59%

7 Shots 16

1 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dender 8. · Cercle Brugge 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	13	9	3	1	+20	+13.3	30
2	Genk	13	9	2	2	+12	+15.4	29
3	Antwerp	13	8	4	1	+19	+4.1	28
4	Gent	16	7	6	3	+14	+0.3	27
5	Anderlecht	14	7	5	2	+16	+9.0	26
6	St. Gilloise	13	5	6	2	+6	+8.2	21
7	Charleroi	14	6	3	5	+2	+3.0	21
8	Dender	15	5	6	4	-1	-3.8	21
9	Cercle Brugge	16	5	4	7	-11	-6.7	19
10	Standard	13	5	3	5	-8	-7.5	18
11	St Truiden	17	4	4	9	-18	-7.7	16
12	Mechelen	14	4	3	7	-1	-3.1	15
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	14	2	7	5	-4	+1.9	13
14	Westerlo	14	3	3	8	-4	-1.8	12
15	Kortrijk	17	3	1	13	-25	-11.6	10
16	Beerschot VA	16	1	6	9	-17	-13.0	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	8	7	1	0	+13	+9.2	22
2	Gent	8	5	2	1	+14	+3.1	17
3	Standard	7	5	1	1	+4	-2.2	16
4	Anderlecht	8	4	3	1	+8	+3.7	15
5	Cercle Brugge	8	4	2	2	-1	+0.3	14
6	Club Brugge	5	4	1	0	+14	+9.6	13
7	Antwerp	6	4	1	1	+14	+5.5	13
8	Charleroi	7	4	1	2	+4	+4.3	13
9	St Truiden	9	3	4	2	-1	+0.4	13
10	St. Gilloise	5	4	0	1	+6	+8.5	12
11	Westerlo	8	3	2	3	+5	+8.8	11
12	Mechelen	7	3	2	2	+5	+0.9	11
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	2	5	1	+3	+3.5	11
14	Kortrijk	8	3	0	5	-5	-1.3	9
15	Beerschot VA	8	1	5	2	-1	-3.6	8
16	Dender	6	1	3	2	+0	+0.0	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	8	5	2	1	+6	+3.7	17
2	Antwerp	7	4	3	0	+5	-1.4	15
3	Dender	9	4	3	2	-1	-3.8	15
4	Anderlecht	6	3	2	1	+8	+5.3	11
5	Gent	8	2	4	2	+0	-2.9	10
6	St. Gilloise	8	1	6	1	+0	-0.3	9
7	Charleroi	7	2	2	3	-2	-1.2	8
8	Genk	5	2	1	2	-1	+6.2	7
9	Cercle Brugge	8	1	2	5	-10	-7.0	5
10	Mechelen	7	1	1	5	-6	-4.0	4
11	St Truiden	8	1	0	7	-17	-8.2	3
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	0	2	4	-7	-1.5	2
13	Standard	6	0	2	4	-12	-5.4	2
14	Westerlo	6	0	1	5	-9	-10.5	1
15	Beerschot VA	8	0	1	7	-16	-9.4	1
16	Kortrijk	9	0	1	8	-20	-10.3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.