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Süper Lig

Referee: A Şansalan

Rizespor

U T U S T

0–1

Full-time

Kasimpasa

U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rizespor Kasimpasa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,3

3,7

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

2,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,48 xG 1,18

62% Possession 38%

18 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 4

11 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 3

4 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rizespor 9. · Kasimpasa 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	0	+9	+5.7	10
2	Eyüpspor	3	2	1	0	+4	-0.4	7
3	Besiktas	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.2	6
4	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.2	6
5	Buyuksehyr	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.6	4
6	Sivasspor	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.6	4
7	Antalyaspor	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.6	4
8	Konyaspor	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.5	4
9	Rizespor	3	1	1	1	-4	+0.1	4
10	Goztep	3	0	3	0	+0	-0.6	3
11	Gaziantep	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.4	3
12	Samsunspor	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.7	3
13	Bodrumspor	3	1	0	2	-2	+1.2	3
14	Kasimpasa	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.0	2
15	Alanyaspor	4	0	2	2	-5	+0.8	2
16	Kayserispor	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.5	1
17	Hatayspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-4.4	1
18	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.1	6
2	Antalyaspor	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
3	Eyüpspor	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.6	3
4	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
5	Buyuksehyr	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.3	3
6	Bodrumspor	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.8	3
7	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.0	3
8	Alanyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.4	2
9	Goztep	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
10	Hatayspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
11	Kasimpasa	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
12	Konyaspor	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.8	1
13	Sivasspor	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
14	Rizespor	2	0	1	1	-5	-0.0	1
15	Kayserispor	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
16	Ad. Demirspor	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
17	Gaziantep	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
18	Samsunspor	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	2	1	1	0	+5	+2.6	4
2	Eyüpspor	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.9	4
3	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.7	3
4	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
5	Sivasspor	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.6	3
6	Rizespor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
7	Samsunspor	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
8	Gaziantep	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
9	Konyaspor	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.3	3
10	Goztep	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
11	Buyuksehyr	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
12	Kasimpasa	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
13	Kayserispor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
14	Ad. Demirspor	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.7	1
15	Hatayspor	2	0	0	2	-2	-3.9	0
16	Antalyaspor	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
17	Bodrumspor	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.6	0
18	Alanyaspor	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.