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Serie A

Referee: D Chiffi

Roma

S U S U U

4–2

Full-time

Sassuolo

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Sassuolo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

Scored

2,0

2,5

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

47% Possession 53%

14 Shots 10

10 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roma 17. · Sassuolo 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Bologna	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Juventus	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Napoli	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Torino	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Atalanta	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Lazio	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Verona	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Genoa	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Cagliari	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Parma	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Brescia	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Spal	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Udinese	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	Roma	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Fiorentina	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Lecce	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Sampdoria	3	0	0	3	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Spal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Genoa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Brescia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Cagliari	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Parma	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+2	3
5	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Parma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Verona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Spal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.