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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Stromsgodset
T S T S T
1–0
Full-time
Ranheim
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Ranheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,3
This season — Eliteserien · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 23%
20%
25%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
65%
55%
Both score Ø 58%
60%
55%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 8
10 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 9
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 16. · Ranheim 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 20 13 4 3 +26 43
2 Bodo/Glimt 20 13 3 4 +16 42
3 Odd 20 11 5 4 +8 38
4 Rosenborg 21 10 6 5 +8 36
5 Brann 20 9 5 6 +6 32
6 Kristiansund 20 8 5 7 +4 29
7 Valerenga 20 7 6 7 +4 27
8 Viking 20 7 6 7 -1 27
9 Haugesund 20 6 7 7 +4 25
10 Lillestrom 21 7 4 10 -8 25
11 Stabaek 20 6 5 9 -5 23
12 Tromso 20 6 4 10 -15 22
13 Mjondalen 20 4 8 8 -10 20
14 Ranheim 20 5 4 11 -13 19
15 Sarpsborg 08 20 2 10 8 -7 16
16 Stromsgodset 20 4 4 12 -17 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Ranheim
Duplexe Tchamba 🟨
27′
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen 🟨
38′
40′
🟨 Michael Karlsen
Half-time 0–0
Viljar Myhra 🔁
↦ Martin Hansen
46′
1–0 Moses Dramwi Mawa
Mikkel Maigaard
56′
60′
🔁 Olaus Jair Skarsem
↦ Magnus Blakstad
Johan Hove 🔁
↦ Kristoffer Tokstad
68′
73′
🟨 Daniel Kvande
74′
🔁 Vegard Erlien
↦ Michael Karlsen
Mustapha Fofana 🔁
↦ Moses Dramwi Mawa
86′
86′
🔁 Ivar Furu
↦ Aleksander Foosnaes
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-3-3
35 Martin Hansen G
26 Lars Christopher Vilsvik D
5 Jakob Glesnes D
4 Duplexe Tchamba D
22 Prosper Mendy D
7 Herman Stengel M
42 Jack Ipalibo M
20 Mikkel Maigaard M
88 Lars-Jørgen Salvesen F
10 Moses Dramwi Mawa F
11 Kristoffer Tokstad F
Bench (7)
1 Viljar Myhra
39 Lars Saetra
3 Jonathan Parr
6 Henning Hauger
8 Johan Hove
46 Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen
56 Mustapha Fofana

Coach: H. Pedersen

Ranheim

4-3-3
1 Even Barli G
5 Øyvind Alseth D
3 Daniel Kvande D
21 Torbjörn Heggem D
24 Aleksander Foosnaes D
6 Magnus Blakstad M
11 Eirik Valla Donnem M
7 Mads Reginiussen M
25 Mushaga Bakenga F
9 Michael Karlsen F
26 Ola Solbakken F
Bench (6)
12 Magnus Lenes
4 Ivar Furu
16 Olaus Jair Skarsem
14 Vegard Erlien
18 Ivar Sollie Ronning
10 Oyvind Storflor

Coach: S. Maalen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.