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Ligue 1

Referee: J Stinat

St Etienne

U S U T T

2–2

Full-time

Toulouse

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 38%

50%

25%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

59% Possession 41%

14 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 7

4 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Etienne 16. · Toulouse 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+9	12
2	Rennes	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Nantes	5	3	1	1	+2	10
4	Lille	5	3	0	2	+2	9
5	Nice	5	3	0	2	+1	9
6	Angers	5	3	0	2	+0	9
7	Lyon	5	2	2	1	+8	8
8	Bordeaux	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Reims	5	2	1	2	+2	7
10	Montpellier	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Marseille	4	2	1	1	+0	7
12	Toulouse	4	2	1	1	-1	7
13	Brest	5	1	3	1	-2	6
14	Nimes	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Amiens	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	St Etienne	4	1	1	2	-3	4
17	Metz	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Strasbourg	5	0	3	2	-3	3
19	Monaco	4	0	2	2	-6	2
20	Dijon	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Angers	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Lille	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Nantes	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Toulouse	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Montpellier	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Brest	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+6	4
9	Bordeaux	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Reims	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Amiens	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	Metz	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Rennes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Nice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Marseille	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Strasbourg	3	0	2	1	-2	2
18	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-3	1
20	Dijon	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rennes	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Nice	3	2	0	1	+1	6
3	Lyon	3	1	1	1	+2	4
4	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Bordeaux	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Paris SG	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Nantes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Reims	3	1	0	2	+0	3
9	St Etienne	3	1	0	2	-3	3
10	Nimes	3	0	2	1	-3	2
11	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Brest	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Toulouse	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	Metz	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Amiens	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Lille	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Angers	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.