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Pro League

Mouscron

U S T S U

2–0

Full-time

Kortrijk

U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mouscron Kortrijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

This season — Pro League · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

8 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 2

6 Corners 5

14 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Mouscron 8. · Kortrijk 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	8	6	0	2	+14	18
2	Club Brugge	7	5	2	0	+14	17
3	Antwerp	7	5	0	2	+9	15
4	Charleroi	7	4	2	1	+8	14
5	Gent	7	4	1	2	+9	13
6	Genk	8	4	1	3	+5	13
7	Mechelen	8	3	3	2	+2	12
8	Mouscron	6	3	2	1	+1	11
9	Royal Excel Mouscron	6	3	2	1	+1	11
10	Waregem	7	3	2	2	+0	11
11	Oostende	7	3	1	3	-3	10
12	St Truiden	9	2	3	4	-7	9
13	Kortrijk	6	2	2	2	+2	8
14	Anderlecht	8	1	3	4	-4	6
15	Cercle Brugge	8	2	0	6	-9	6
16	Eupen	9	0	4	5	-14	4
17	Waasland-Beveren	7	0	2	5	-14	2
18	Beveren	7	0	2	5	-14	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Gent	4	4	0	0	+11	12
3	Antwerp	3	3	0	0	+8	9
4	Mechelen	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Mouscron	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Royal Excel Mouscron	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Charleroi	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Waregem	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Genk	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	St Truiden	6	1	3	2	-1	6
11	Oostende	4	2	0	2	-2	6
12	Cercle Brugge	5	2	0	3	-4	6
13	Club Brugge	3	1	2	0	+6	5
14	Kortrijk	3	1	2	0	+2	5
15	Anderlecht	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Eupen	5	0	3	2	-5	3
17	Waasland-Beveren	3	0	0	3	-10	0
18	Beveren	3	0	0	3	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Charleroi	4	2	1	1	+6	7
3	Genk	5	2	1	2	+5	7
4	Standard	4	2	0	2	+3	6
5	Antwerp	4	2	0	2	+1	6
6	Waregem	4	1	2	1	-2	5
7	Oostende	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	Mouscron	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Royal Excel Mouscron	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	Mechelen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Kortrijk	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	St Truiden	3	1	0	2	-6	3
13	Anderlecht	4	0	2	2	-3	2
14	Waasland-Beveren	4	0	2	2	-4	2
15	Beveren	4	0	2	2	-4	2
16	Gent	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Eupen	4	0	1	3	-9	1
18	Cercle Brugge	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.