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Super League
Referee: S Jovanović
Larisa
T U T U U
1–2
Full-time
PAOK
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larisa PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,5
2,2
Scored
0,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,2
This season — Super League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 48%
28%
68%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
52%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,1
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

34% Possession 66%
5 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
21 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Larisa 8. · PAOK 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 25 19 6 0 +40 63
2 PAOK 25 17 5 3 +25 56
3 AEK 24 13 6 5 +16 45
4 Panathinaikos 25 10 8 7 +3 38
5 Aris 23 8 9 6 +8 33
6 Aris Thessalonikis 23 8 9 6 +8 33
7 OFI Crete 25 9 5 11 +1 32
8 Larisa 25 7 9 9 -6 30
9 Volos NFC 25 8 5 12 -18 29
10 Xanthi 25 8 4 13 -12 28
11 Asteras Tripolis 25 7 6 12 -3 27
12 Atromitos 24 7 6 11 -6 27
13 Lamia 24 5 11 8 -11 26
14 Panetolikos 25 3 8 14 -19 17
15 Panionios 25 4 5 16 -26 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Nov -19 PAOK – Larisa 1–0

Match report

Larisa PAOK
14′
⚽ D. Limnios 0–1
C. Akpom
Athanasios Papazoglou 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–1
T. Iliadis 🔁
↦ Ali Ghazal
46′
47′
⚽ Douglas 0–2
L. Lamprou
Svetozar Marković 🟨
52′
62′
🔁 O. El Kaddouri
↦ D. Pelkas
1–2 T. Iliadis ⚽
M. Mužek
67′
76′
🔁 K. Świderski
↦ C. Akpom
D. Pinakas 🔁
↦ Vinícius
77′
85′
🔁 Rodrigo Alves
↦ L. Lamprou
90′
🟨 Sverrir Ingi Ingason
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Larisa

4-2-3-1
1 Ö. Kristinsson G
18 V. Moras D
13 M. Mužek D
15 S. Marković D
9 G. Torje M
6 P. Ballas M
66 Ali Ghazal M
77 Vinícius F
22 A. Šećerović M
11 A. Papazoglou F
23 J. Assoubre M
Bench (5)
4 T. Iliadis
29 D. Pinakas
14 N. Golias
12 G. Nagy
27 D. Loufakis

Coach: M. Grigoriou

PAOK

4-2-3-1
88 Ž. Živković G
3 Léo Matos D
5 Fernando Varela D
4 S. Ingason D
23 D. Giannoulis D
8 Maurício M
10 D. Pelkas M
33 Douglas M
47 C. Akpom F
22 L. Lamprou F
18 D. Limnios M
Bench (7)
7 O. El Kaddouri
9 K. Świderski
2 Rodrigo Alves
31 A. Paschalakis
6 E. Mihaj
99 M. Stoch
24 A. Esiti

Coach: Abel Ferreira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,37
U
4,18
B ✓
1,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,05
U2,5
1,73
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

S Jovanović · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.