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Bundesliga
Referee: D Muckenhammer
Tirol
T T U U S
1–1
Full-time
SK Rapid
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol SK Rapid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 50%
38%
62%
Points per game
1,4
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
52%
62%
Both score Ø 60%
57%
62%
Average goals
3,3
3,1
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 9
4 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tirol 6. · SK Rapid 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 22 17 1 4 +43 52
2 SK Rapid 21 13 5 3 +18 44
3 LASK 22 13 3 6 +21 42
4 Sturm Graz 21 11 5 5 +14 38
5 Wolfsberger AC 21 9 3 9 -1 30
6 Tirol 21 8 5 8 +3 29
7 Hartberg 21 7 7 7 -13 28
8 Austria Vienna 21 6 7 8 +1 25
9 St. Polten 21 5 5 11 -10 20
10 Altach 21 5 3 13 -24 18
11 Ried 21 4 4 13 -24 16
12 Admira 21 3 4 14 -28 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tirol SK Rapid
33′
🟨 Mateo Barać
45′
🟨 Thorsten Schick
Half-time 0–0
David Gugganig 🟨
51′
T. Anselm 🔁
↦ Z. Dedič
65′
F. Buchacher 🔁
↦ F. Rieder
65′
67′
🟨 Maximilian Ullmann
68′
🔁 C. Knasmüllner
↦ T. Fountas
74′
K. Arase 0–1
79′
🔁 S. Grahovac
↦ M. Ritzmaier
79′
🔁 Y. Demir
↦ K. Arase
Bruno Soares 🔁
↦ T. Petsos
80′
B. Pranter 🔁
↦ D. Schnegg
80′
J. Naschberger 🔁
↦ Ž. Rogelj
80′
1–1 T. Anselm
N. Celic
84′
Bruno Soares 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Tirol

4-4-2
25 F. Oswald G
24 F. Koch D
4 D. Gugganig D
30 R. Behounek D
43 N. Celic M
28 D. Schnegg D
6 T. Petsos M
16 F. Rieder M
21 Ž. Rogelj M
22 Z. Dedič F
9 N. Frederiksen F
Bench (7)
20 T. Anselm
26 F. Buchacher
44 Bruno Soares
7 B. Pranter
17 J. Naschberger
13 B. Ozegovic
8 R. Smith

Coach: T. Silberberger

SK Rapid

4-2-3-1
1 R. Strebinger G
20 M. Hofmann D
31 M. Ullmann D
4 M. Barać D
13 T. Schick D
8 M. Ritzmaier M
16 D. Petrovič M
39 D. Ljubičić M
9 T. Fountas M
29 E. Kara F
36 K. Arase M
Bench (7)
28 C. Knasmüllner
14 S. Grahovac
48 Y. Demir
25 P. Gartler
19 D. Alar
37 L. Sulzbacher
30 L. Greiml

Coach: D. Kühbauer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Muckenhammer · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.