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Super League
Referee: K Tsetsilas
Apollon
T T U U U
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Apollon Asteras Tripolis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,2
Scored
0,3
0,3
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,5
This season — Super League · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
50%
20%
Both score Ø 27%
33%
20%
Average goals
2,2
1,2
Scored
0,3
0,2
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
8 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 3
14 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Apollon 13. · Asteras Tripolis 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PAOK 5 4 0 1 +5 12
2 Volos NFC 5 4 0 1 +3 12
3 Olympiakos 5 3 2 0 +6 11
4 AEK 5 3 1 1 +4 10
5 Giannina 5 2 3 0 +2 9
6 Aris Thessalonikis 5 2 2 1 +2 8
7 Aris 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 Ionikos 6 2 2 2 -2 8
9 Panathinaikos 6 2 1 3 +5 7
10 Panetolikos 5 1 2 2 -2 5
11 OFI Crete 6 0 5 1 -2 5
12 Lamia 5 1 1 3 -2 4
13 Apollon 6 0 3 3 -9 3
14 Asteras Tripolis 5 0 2 3 -4 2
15 Atromitos 6 0 2 4 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Apollon Asteras Tripolis
38′
🟨 Jeronimo Barrales
Half-time 0–1
48′
J. Barrales 0–1
Xesc Regis
54′
🟨 Pepe Castaño
Luís Domingues 🟨
55′
W. Sahli 🔁
↦ N. Martínez
58′
A. Dauda 🔁
↦ N. Ioannidis
63′
S. Tsiloulis 🔁
↦ R. van La Parra
63′
70′
🔁 Adrián Riera
↦ K. Soni
71′
🔁 Eneko Capilla
↦ Sito
Vykintas Slivka 🟨
76′
79′
🟨 Antonis Tsiftsis
F. Matei 🔁
↦ F. Castro
82′
82′
🔁 S. Baba
↦ Eneko Capilla
82′
🔁 M. Iglesias
↦ Dani Santafé
Christos Lisgaras 🟨
83′
C. Lisgaras 🔁
↦ D. Baxevanidis
83′
91′
🔁 C. Tasoulis
↦ Xesc Regis
94′
🟨 Christos Tasoulis
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Apollon

4-3-3
1 K. Kotsaris G
22 Bruno Alves D
5 Domingues D
6 D. Baxevanidis D
17 J. Tutuarima D
91 R. van La Parra M
10 N. Martínez M
64 F. Andoni M
14 V. Slivka M
21 F. Castro M
9 N. Ioannidis F
Bench (9)
77 W. Sahli
27 A. Dauda
23 S. Tsiloulis
8 F. Matei
31 C. Lisgaras
11 G. Papageorgiou
97 I. Kyritsis
3 V. Vitlis
2 A. Ntentakis

Coach: G. Festa

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1
99 A. Tsiftsis G
29 F. Álvarez D
12 David Carmona D
19 Pepe Castaño D
8 J. Munafo M
40 Sito F
6 José Luis Valiente M
14 Dani Santafé M
9 J. Barrales F
27 K. Soni F
11 Xesc Regis F
Bench (9)
23 Adrián Riera
10 Eneko Capilla
21 S. Baba
17 M. Iglesias
3 C. Tasoulis
2 Rubén García
22 Asier Benito
1 N. Papadopoulos
20 R. Gómez

Coach: M. Rastavac

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,86
U
3,07
B ✓
2,51
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,47
U2,5 ✓
1,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Tsetsilas · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,45 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.