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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Motherwell
S S U S T
0–2
Full-time
Celtic
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,3
This season — Premiership · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
38%
63%
Both score Ø 51%
63%
38%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
1,4
2,4
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

27% Possession 73%
5 Shots 18
0 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 8
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 4. · Celtic 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 8 6 1 1 +8 19
2 Hearts 8 5 3 0 +9 18
3 Hibernian 8 4 3 1 +6 15
4 Motherwell 8 4 2 2 +2 14
5 Dundee United 8 4 2 2 +0 14
6 Celtic 8 4 1 3 +13 13
7 St Mirren 8 2 4 2 -5 10
8 ST Johnstone 9 2 3 4 -3 9
9 Aberdeen 8 2 2 4 -2 8
10 Livingston 9 2 1 6 -7 7
11 Ross County 8 0 3 5 -10 3
12 Dundee 8 0 3 5 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell Celtic
17′
Jota 0–1
T. Rogić
Half-time 0–2
52′
D. Turnbull 0–2
Jota
K. van Veen 🔁
↦ J. Roberts
63′
73′
🔁 N. Bitton
↦ T. Rogić
73′
🔁 G. Giakoumakis
↦ L. Abada
J. Amaluzor 🔁
↦ L. Grimshaw
77′
80′
🟨 Cameron Carter-Vickers
82′
🔁 M. Johnston
↦ K. Furuhashi
Bevis Mugabi 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-3-3
1 L. Kelly G
14 J. Ojala D
2 S. O'Donnell D
23 L. Grimshaw M
19 N. McGinley D
5 B. Mugabi D
28 J. Roberts F
27 S. Goss M
16 C. Slattery M
32 T. Watt F
7 K. Woolery F
Bench (7)
9 K. van Veen
17 J. Amaluzor
21 S. Johansen
12 S. Fox
3 J. Carroll
22 L. Donnelly
8 M. O'Hara

Coach: G. Alexander

Celtic

4-3-3
15 J. Hart G
23 B. Bolingoli-Mbombo D
4 C. Starfelt D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
56 A. Ralston D
42 C. McGregor M
18 T. Rogić M
14 D. Turnbull M
17 Jota F
8 K. Furuhashi F
11 L. Abada F
Bench (7)
6 N. Bitton
7 G. Giakoumakis
19 M. Johnston
29 S. Bain
10 A. Ajeti
57 S. Welsh
5 L. Scales

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,48
U
4,24
B ✓
1,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,77
U2,5 ✓
2,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.