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Super League

Referee: E Manouhos

Panathinaikos

T T T S U

4–1

Full-time

Ionikos

S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Ionikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,3

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

This season — Super League · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,3

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

56% Possession 44%

11 Shots 3

7 Shots on target 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Panathinaikos 9. · Ionikos 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	5	4	0	1	+5	12
2	Volos NFC	5	4	0	1	+3	12
3	Olympiakos	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	AEK	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Giannina	5	2	3	0	+2	9
6	Aris Thessalonikis	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Aris	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Ionikos	6	2	2	2	-2	8
9	Panathinaikos	6	2	1	3	+5	7
10	Panetolikos	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	OFI Crete	6	0	5	1	-2	5
12	Asteras Tripolis	6	1	2	3	-3	5
13	Lamia	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Apollon	7	0	3	4	-10	3
15	Atromitos	6	0	2	4	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Volos NFC	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Ionikos	4	2	1	1	+1	7
3	Panathinaikos	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	AEK	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Olympiakos	3	1	2	0	+3	5
6	Aris Thessalonikis	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Aris	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Giannina	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	PAOK	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	OFI Crete	3	0	2	1	-2	2
11	Lamia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Panetolikos	3	0	1	2	-3	1
13	Apollon	3	0	1	2	-3	1
14	Atromitos	4	0	1	3	-5	1
15	Asteras Tripolis	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Olympiakos	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Giannina	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Asteras Tripolis	4	1	2	1	+0	5
5	Panetolikos	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	AEK	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Aris Thessalonikis	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Aris	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	OFI Crete	3	0	3	0	+0	3
10	Lamia	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Volos NFC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Apollon	4	0	2	2	-7	2
13	Panathinaikos	4	0	1	3	-3	1
14	Atromitos	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Ionikos	2	0	1	1	-3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.