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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kooij
PSV Eindhoven
S T S T S
3–1
Full-time
Zwolle
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,2
Scored
2,2
0,3
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
75%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,1
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
88%
13%
Both score Ø 44%
63%
25%
Average goals
3,8
2,0
Scored
2,4
0,3
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

69% Possession 31%
29 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 2. · Zwolle 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 9 7 1 1 +30 22
2 PSV Eindhoven 8 6 0 2 +8 18
3 Utrecht 8 5 2 1 +13 17
4 Feyenoord 8 5 1 2 +11 16
5 Willem II 8 5 1 2 +2 16
6 Twente 8 4 2 2 +4 14
7 Heerenveen 8 4 1 3 -1 13
8 Vitesse 8 4 1 3 -7 13
9 Cambuur 8 4 0 4 -5 12
10 Nijmegen 8 3 2 3 -5 11
11 Heracles 8 3 1 4 -3 10
12 Go Ahead Eagles 9 3 1 5 -7 10
13 Waalwijk 9 1 4 4 -3 7
14 AZ Alkmaar 6 2 0 4 +0 6
15 Groningen 8 1 3 4 -7 6
16 Sparta Rotterdam 8 1 3 4 -9 6
17 For Sittard 7 1 2 4 -9 5
18 Zwolle 8 0 1 7 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Zwolle
3′
D. Redan 0–1
Y. Nakayama
Half-time 0–1
53′
🟨 Mark Pabai
Y. Vertessen 🔁
↦ M. van Ginkel
61′
Carlos Vinícius 🔁
↦ E. Zahavi
61′
61′
🔁 R. Koolwijk
↦ D. Redan
61′
🔁 M. De Wit
↦ M. Saymak
62′
🔁 S. Tedić
↦ L. Adžić
Bruma 🔁
↦ N. Madueke
72′
74′
🔁 T. van den Belt
↦ D. Huiberts
Olivier Boscagli 🟨
76′
76′
🟨 Slobodan Tedić
77′
🟨 Mees de Wit
1–1 André Ramalho
C. Gakpo
84′
2–1 C. Gakpo
Y. Vertessen
86′
D. Pröpper 🔁
↦ P. Max
87′
J. Teze 🔁
↦ C. Gakpo
88′
88′
🔁 G. Kastaneer
↦ K. Paal
3–1 O. Boscagli
89′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
16 J. Drommel G
29 P. Mwene D
5 André Ramalho D
31 P. Max D
18 O. Boscagli D
27 M. Götze M
8 M. van Ginkel M
6 I. Sangaré M
7 E. Zahavi F
11 C. Gakpo M
10 N. Madueke M
Bench (10)
32 Y. Vertessen
9 Carlos Vinícius
19 Bruma
14 D. Pröpper
3 J. Teze
4 A. Obispo
17 Mauro Júnior
38 Y. Mvogo
15 É. Gutiérrez
13 V. Müller

Coach: R. Schmidt

Zwolle

4-2-3-1
1 K. Lamprou G
2 B. van Polen D
5 K. Paal M
4 Y. Nakayama D
15 S. Kersten D
27 M. Pabai D
6 M. Saymak M
13 R. Strieder M
8 D. Huiberts M
19 D. Redan F
11 L. Adžić M
Bench (10)
37 R. Koolwijk
34 M. De Wit
9 S. Tedić
20 T. van den Belt
7 G. Kastaneer
40 M. Hauptmeijer
16 J. Schendelaar
3 S. Voet
14 L. Fernandes
23 E. Reijnders

Coach: A. Langeler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,15
U
7,68
B
16,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,41
U2,5
2,85
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Kooij · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.