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Pro League
St. Gilloise
T S U S S
4–2
Full-time
Seraing
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Seraing
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 7/10 matches
Win Ø 56%
71%
40%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
71%
70%
Both score Ø 47%
43%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

21 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 4
10 Corners 2
18 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gilloise 8. · Seraing 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 11 6 2 3 +9 20
2 Eupen 11 6 2 3 +8 20
3 Antwerp 10 6 2 2 +7 20
4 Anderlecht 9 5 3 1 +12 18
5 Club Brugge 9 5 3 1 +6 18
6 Kortrijk 12 5 3 4 +2 18
7 Oostende 11 5 2 4 -3 17
8 St. Gilloise 7 5 1 1 +11 16
9 Standard 11 5 1 5 -6 16
10 St Truiden 10 4 2 4 -2 14
11 Mechelen 9 4 1 4 -2 13
12 Seraing 10 4 0 6 -4 12
13 Seraing United 10 4 0 6 -4 12
14 Charleroi 8 2 5 1 +5 11
15 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 10 1 6 3 -8 9
16 Waregem 11 2 3 6 -12 9
17 Gent 8 2 2 4 +2 8
18 Cercle Brugge 11 2 2 7 -6 8
19 Beerschot VA 10 0 2 8 -15 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,35
U
5,11
B
7,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,42
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.