Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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St. Gilloise
Seraing
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Genk
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 20 |
| 2 |
Eupen
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +8 | 20 |
| 3 |
Antwerp
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |
Anderlecht
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 18 |
| 5 |
Club Brugge
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 |
Kortrijk
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 18 |
| 7 |
Oostende
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 17 |
| 8 |
St. Gilloise
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 16 |
| 9 |
Standard
|
11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 16 |
| 10 |
St Truiden
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 |
Mechelen
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Seraing | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 |
Seraing United
|
10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 |
Charleroi
|
8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 15 |
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
|
10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 |
Waregem
|
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -12 | 9 |
| 17 |
Gent
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 18 |
Cercle Brugge
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 |
Beerschot VA
|
10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 2 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Cercle Brugge
St. Gilloise
St. Gilloise
Waregem
Genk
St. Gilloise
St. Gilloise
Standard
Mechelen
St. Gilloise
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.