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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
Ross County
U T U T T
2–3
Full-time
St Mirren
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 13%
0%
25%
Points per game
0,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
63%
63%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

56% Possession 44%
20 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
10 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 4
5 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ross County 11. · St Mirren 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 8 6 1 1 +8 19
2 Hearts 8 5 3 0 +9 18
3 Hibernian 8 4 3 1 +6 15
4 Motherwell 8 4 2 2 +2 14
5 Dundee United 8 4 2 2 +0 14
6 Celtic 8 4 1 3 +13 13
7 St Mirren 8 2 4 2 -5 10
8 ST Johnstone 9 2 3 4 -3 9
9 Aberdeen 8 2 2 4 -2 8
10 Livingston 9 2 1 6 -7 7
11 Ross County 8 0 3 5 -10 3
12 Dundee 8 0 3 5 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ross County St Mirren
15′
E. Brophy 0–1
E. Erhahon
34′
M. Fraser 0–2
S. Tanser
1–2 B. Spittal
37′
38′
S. Tanser 1–3
J. Alnwick
Half-time 1–3
Jack Baldwin 🟨
48′
B. Paton 🔁
↦ J. Burroughs
56′
J. White 🔁
↦ A. Samuel
56′
2–3 A. Iacovitti
H. Clarke
66′
68′
🔁 R. Flynn
↦ E. Erhahon
71′
🟨 Ryan Flynn
J. Hungbo 🔁
↦ D. Cancola
71′
73′
🔁 R. Tait
↦ S. Tanser
74′
🔁 C. Main
↦ J. McGrath
Ross Callachan 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Ross County

4-3-3
31 A. Maynard-Brewer G
5 J. Baldwin D
16 A. Iacovitti D
8 R. Callachan M
7 B. Spittal F
4 D. Cancola M
6 H. Paton M
20 H. Clarke D
18 J. Burroughs D
9 A. Samuel F
17 R. Charles-Cook F
Bench (7)
24 B. Paton
26 J. White
23 J. Hungbo
22 J. Tillson
15 K. Watson
10 D. Samuel
1 R. Laidlaw

Coach: M. Mackay

St Mirren

3-4-2-1
1 J. Alnwick G
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
3 S. Tanser M
5 C. McCarthy D
6 A. Power M
7 J. McGrath F
43 C. Ronan F
44 M. Millar M
16 E. Erhahon M
9 E. Brophy F
Bench (7)
8 R. Flynn
2 R. Tait
10 C. Main
17 K. McAllister
26 D. Lyness
20 K. Dennis
18 C. Dunne

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,11
U
3,34
B ✓
2,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,73
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.