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Serie B

Como

T T T U S

2–0

Full-time

Alessandria

T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Como Alessandria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,0

This season — Serie B · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 14%

14%

Points per game

0,9

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

29%

57%

Both score Ø 64%

57%

71%

Average goals

2,7

3,6

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,6

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

12 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 2

2 Corners 0

15 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Como 17. · Alessandria 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	8	6	1	1	+10	19
2	Lecce	8	4	3	1	+5	15
3	Cremonese	7	5	0	2	+5	15
4	Brescia	8	4	2	2	+6	14
5	Ascoli	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Perugia	8	3	4	1	+4	13
7	Reggina	8	3	4	1	+1	13
8	Benevento	7	3	3	1	+5	12
9	Cittadella	7	4	0	3	-1	12
10	Frosinone	8	2	5	1	+3	11
11	Cosenza	8	3	2	3	-2	11
12	Ternana	8	3	1	4	-3	10
13	Parma	7	2	3	2	+2	9
14	Monza	7	2	3	2	-1	9
15	Spal	7	2	2	3	+3	8
16	Crotone	8	1	4	3	-5	7
17	Como	7	1	3	3	-3	6
18	Alessandria	7	1	1	5	-7	4
19	Vicenza	8	1	0	7	-7	3
20	Pordenone	8	0	1	7	-17	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Cosenza	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Cremonese	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Cittadella	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Spal	4	2	2	0	+6	8
6	Benevento	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Reggina	4	2	2	0	+2	8
8	Lecce	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Monza	3	2	1	0	+3	7
10	Crotone	5	1	3	1	-2	6
11	Ternana	4	2	0	2	-2	6
12	Perugia	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Brescia	3	1	1	1	+2	4
14	Parma	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Ascoli	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Frosinone	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Alessandria	3	1	0	2	-3	3
18	Como	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Pordenone	5	0	1	4	-9	1
20	Vicenza	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	5	3	1	1	+4	10
2	Ascoli	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Frosinone	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Perugia	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Lecce	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Pisa	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Cremonese	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Parma	4	1	2	1	+2	5
9	Como	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Reggina	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Benevento	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Ternana	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Vicenza	4	1	0	3	-1	3
14	Cittadella	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Monza	4	0	2	2	-4	2
16	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Alessandria	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Cosenza	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Spal	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	Pordenone	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.