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Super League
Referee: D Schlager
Olympiakos
S U T S S
2–4
Full-time
PAOK
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 65%
80%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
70%
50%
Both score Ø 30%
30%
30%
Average goals
3,4
2,2
Scored
2,8
1,5
Conceded
0,6
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
13 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
8 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 2. · PAOK 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 10 8 1 1 +25 25
2 Olympiakos 10 8 1 1 +22 25
3 AEK 10 6 3 1 +9 21
4 PAOK 10 5 3 2 +8 18
5 Lamia 11 5 3 3 -2 18
6 OFI Crete 10 4 4 2 +0 16
7 Aris Thessalonikis 9 4 2 3 +2 14
8 Aris 10 4 2 4 +0 14
9 Asteras Tripolis 11 3 2 6 -7 11
10 Panserraikos 9 2 3 4 -6 9
11 Kifisia 11 1 6 4 -8 9
12 Atromitos 10 2 3 5 -10 9
13 Giannina 11 1 3 7 -9 6
14 Volos NFC 9 1 3 5 -9 6
15 Panetolikos 11 1 3 7 -15 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos PAOK
38′
A. Živković 0–1
A. Baba
Half-time 0–1
G. Masouras 🔁
↦ S. Alexandropoulos
46′
Santiago Hezze 🟨
47′
56′
Brandon Thomas 0–2
Panagiotis Retsos 🟨
57′
57′
🟨 Brandon Thomas
O. Solbakken 🔁
↦ Quini
65′
65′
Brandon Thomas 0–3
T. Murg
S. Jovetić 🔁
↦ A. El Kaabi
72′
Gustavo Scarpa 🔁
↦ Daniel Podence
73′
73′
🔁 G. Konstantelias
↦ Taison
Mady Camara 🟨
76′
78′
M. Ozdoev 0–4
G. Konstantelias
82′
🔁 K. Despodov
↦ Brandon Thomas
João Carvalho 🔁
↦ S. Hezze
83′
1–4 K. Fortounis
João Carvalho
86′
89′
🔁 S. Schwab
↦ M. Ozdoev
90′
🔁 S. Tzimas
↦ A. Živković
90′
🔁 T. Tsingaras
↦ S. Meïté
92′
🟨 Dominik Kotarski
2–4 G. Masouras
K. Fortounis
98′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
1 A. Paschalakis G
23 Rodinei D
25 J. Porozo D
45 P. Retsos D
18 Quini D
4 M. Camara M
32 S. Hezze M
56 Daniel Podence M
15 S. Alexandropoulos M
7 K. Fortounis M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (9)
19 G. Masouras
98 O. Solbakken
22 S. Jovetić
10 Gustavo Scarpa
20 João Carvalho
17 M. Vrousai
74 A. Ntoi
88 K. Tzolakis
21 Pep Biel

Coach: Diego Martínez

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
23 Joan Sastre D
16 T. Kędziora D
4 K. Koulierakis D
21 A. Baba D
8 S. Meïté M
27 M. Ozdoev M
14 A. Živković M
10 T. Murg M
11 Taison M
71 Brandon Thomas F
Bench (9)
7 G. Konstantelias
77 K. Despodov
22 S. Schwab
95 S. Tzimas
6 T. Tsingaras
15 W. Troost-Ekong
5 G. Michailidis
18 Ž. Živković
55 Rafa Soares

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,52
U
3,92
B ✓
6,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,96
U2,5
1,81
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.