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Premiership
Referee: A Muir
Dundee
U U U S T
1–0
Full-time
Livingston
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 10/11 matches
Win Ø 19%
20%
18%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
50%
36%
Both score Ø 43%
40%
45%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
10 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 12
3 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee 9. · Livingston 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 12 10 2 0 +21 32
2 Rangers 11 8 0 3 +18 24
3 St Mirren 10 5 3 2 +4 18
4 Kilmarnock 12 4 4 4 +1 16
5 Hearts 11 4 2 5 -1 14
6 Aberdeen 10 3 3 4 +0 12
7 Hibernian 11 2 5 4 -3 11
8 Motherwell 11 3 2 6 -5 11
9 Dundee 10 2 5 3 -6 11
10 Ross County 11 2 4 5 -9 10
11 Livingston 11 2 4 5 -9 10
12 ST Johnstone 10 1 4 5 -11 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee Livingston
Joe Shaughnessy 🟨
6′
Luke McCowan 🟨
12′
Half-time 0–0
M. Boateng 🔁
↦ M. Sylla
46′
47′
🟨 Danny Lloyd
51′
🔁 D. Mackay
↦ D. Lloyd-McGoldrick
54′
🟥 Sean Kelly
VAR: Red card cancelled
56′
🟨 Sean Kelly
1–0 L. McCowan
57′
61′
🔁 B. Anderson
↦ S. Kelly
66′
🔁 M. Sangare
↦ J. Holt
66′
🔁 M. Nottingham
↦ M. Welch-Hayes
Z. Robinson 🔁
↦ A. Bakayoko
71′
R. Howley 🔁
↦ L. Cameron
71′
80′
🟨 Michael Nottingham
A. Donnelly 🔁
↦ O. Beck
90′
97′
🔁 T. Parkes
↦ M. Nottingham
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Dundee

3-5-2
31 T. Carson G
29 A. Portales D
5 J. Shaughnessy D
12 R. Lamie D
6 J. McGhee M
10 L. Cameron M
28 M. Sylla M
17 L. McCowan M
3 O. Beck M
9 A. Bakayoko F
20 Z. Rudden F
Bench (9)
23 M. Boateng
16 Z. Robinson
21 R. Howley
25 A. Donnelly
2 C. Kerr
19 F. Robertson
11 D. Pineda
18 C. Reilly
1 A. Legzdiņš

Coach: T. Docherty

Livingston

4-3-1-2
32 J. Hamilton G
14 M. Welch-Hayes D
5 M. Devlin D
24 S. Kelly D
29 J. Penrice D
22 A. Shinnie M
8 S. Pittman M
18 J. Holt M
25 D. Lloyd-McGoldrick M
19 J. Nouble F
10 S. Kelly F
Bench (9)
11 D. Mackay
9 B. Anderson
20 M. Sangare
21 M. Nottingham
4 T. Parkes
16 S. Bradley
12 J. Brandon
1 S. George
28 K. Guthrie

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,07
U
3,31
B
3,61
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,11
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Muir · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.