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Super League
Referee: A Diamantopoulos
Atromitos
S S U U U
3–2
Full-time
Panathinaikos
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atromitos Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 46%
21%
71%
Points per game
1,1
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
57%
71%
Both score Ø 50%
71%
29%
Average goals
3,1
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,6
Conceded
1,9
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

29% Possession 71%
10 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Atromitos 10. · Panathinaikos 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PAOK 15 10 3 2 +22 33
2 AEK 14 10 3 1 +15 33
3 Olympiakos 14 10 2 2 +24 32
4 Panathinaikos 14 10 1 3 +26 31
5 Aris Thessalonikis 14 7 2 5 +4 23
6 Aris 14 7 2 5 +4 23
7 Lamia 15 5 4 6 -9 19
8 OFI Crete 16 4 6 6 -7 18
9 Asteras Tripolis 15 5 2 8 -9 17
10 Atromitos 14 3 6 5 -8 15
11 Volos NFC 15 3 5 7 -11 14
12 Panserraikos 14 3 4 7 -12 13
13 Kifisia 15 2 6 7 -12 12
14 Panetolikos 14 2 3 9 -15 9
15 Giannina 15 1 5 9 -12 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Atromitos Panathinaikos
Pierre Kunde 🟨
29′
Wajdi Kechrida 🟨
37′
38′
⚽ F. Ioannidis 0–1
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Eder González ⚽
P. Kunde
47′
2–1 N. Vergos ⚽
49′
3–1 G. Robail ⚽
Eder González
64′
68′
🔁 G. Vagiannidis
↦ G. Kotsiras
68′
🔁 A. Šporar
↦ S. Palacios
68′
🔁 Willian Arão
↦ T. Jedvaj
74′
🟨 Rubén Pérez
82′
🟨 Tonny Vilhena
86′
🔁 L. Kleinheisler
↦ Juankar
D. Jubitana 🔁
↦ G. Robail
87′
S. Friðjónsson 🔁
↦ A. Camara
87′
92′
ℹ️ Bernard
VAR: Penalty confirmed
93′
⚽ F. Ioannidis 3–2
M. Imerekov 🔁
↦ Eder González
94′
Panagiotis Tsintotas 🟨
96′
97′
🟨 László Kleinheisler
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Atromitos

4-2-3-1
16 P. Tsintotas G
2 W. Kechrida D
5 L. Acevedo D
33 G. Tzavellas D
28 L. De Bock D
26 P. Kunde M
10 A. Camara M
7 G. Robail M
6 Eder González M
18 D. Valencia M
9 N. Vergos F
Bench (9)
11 D. Jubitana
8 S. Friðjónsson
32 M. Imerekov
1 G. Marchegiani
55 T. Dierckx
3 N. Athanasiou
30 A. Kuen
19 K. Kivrakidis
17 A. Erlingmark

Coach: S. Ilić

Panathinaikos

4-3-3
91 A. Brignoli G
27 G. Kotsiras D
5 B. Schenkeveld D
21 T. Jedvaj D
3 Juankar D
17 D. Mancini M
4 Rubén Pérez M
52 T. Vilhena M
34 S. Palacios F
7 F. Ioannidis F
10 Bernard F
Bench (8)
2 G. Vagiannidis
9 A. Šporar
55 Willian Arão
8 L. Kleinheisler
18 E. Çokaj
29 A. Jeremejeff
12 Y. Lodygin
6 Zeca

Coach: I. Jovanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
6,56
U
4,10
B
1,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,95
U2,5
1,81
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

A Diamantopoulos · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.