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Svenska Cupen
Referee: J Östling
GAIS
T U U S S
4–1
Full-time
Orebro SK
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GAIS Orebro SK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Svenska Cupen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
6,0
2,0
Scored
4,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match GAIS 21. · Orebro SK 27.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Stockholm Internazionale 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Trelleborg 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 AIK 2 1 1 0 +6 4
4 Hammarby 2 1 1 0 +5 4
5 Degerfors 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Varberg 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Karlberg 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Djurgarden 1 1 0 0 +5 3
9 Elfsborg 1 1 0 0 +5 3
10 Brommapojkarna 1 1 0 0 +5 3
11 Skövde AIK 1 1 0 0 +5 3
12 FBK Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +4 3
13 Mjallby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Trollhättan 2 1 0 1 +3 3
15 Berga 2 1 0 1 +3 3
16 Malmo FF 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Smedby 2 1 0 1 +3 3
18 Sollentuna 2 1 0 1 +2 3
19 Jonkopings Sodra 2 1 0 1 +2 3
20 Kalmar 2 1 0 1 +2 3
21 GAIS 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Falkenbergs FF 2 1 0 1 +2 3
23 Vasteras SK 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Sirius 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Norrkoping 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Oster 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Orebro SK 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Oddevold 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Landskrona 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Goteborg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Helsingborg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Halmstad 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +1 3
34 Sandviken 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Ariana 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Hacken 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Utsikten 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Orgryte 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 IK brage 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Gefle IF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Varnamo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 IF Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Huddinge 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Tord 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Täby 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Enskede 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Nyköping 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Götaholm 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Gute 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Simrishamn 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Piteå 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 Herrestads 2 1 0 1 -1 3
53 Torslanda 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 IFK Hässleholm 2 1 0 1 -2 3
55 Angelholms FF 2 1 0 1 -2 3
56 Eskilsminne 2 1 0 1 -3 3
57 Stocksund 2 1 0 1 -4 3
58 Järfälla 2 1 0 1 -4 3
59 Årsunda 2 1 0 1 -4 3
60 IFK Östersund 2 1 0 1 -4 3
61 Kubikenborg 2 1 0 1 -5 3
62 Borens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Viggbyholms IK 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Haga 2 0 1 1 -2 1
65 Nacka Iliria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Gottne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Gauthiod 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Onsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Ostersunds FK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Skellefteå 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Balkan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 IFK Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Sundsvall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Hudiksvall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 IFK Skövde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Arlanda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Vänersborgs IF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Sunnersta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Brålanda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Stegeborgs 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Kristianopels 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Torns 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Franke 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Åstorp 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Tidaholms GoIF 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Zenith 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Lödde 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Dalkurd FF 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Timmernabbens 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 Haninge 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Jönköpings BK 1 0 0 1 -4 0
94 Landvetter IS 1 0 0 1 -4 0
95 Styrsö 1 0 0 1 -5 0
96 Forward 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

GAIS Orebro SK
K. Holmen 🟨
13′
13′
🟨 K. Holmberg
1–0 G. Lundgren
16′
2–0 R. Niklasson Petrovic
36′
43′
J. Modig 2–1
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 S. Tipura
↦ Lucas Shlimon
3–1 K. Holmén
52′
E. Bećirović 🔁
↦ I. Diabate
63′
J. Lindberg 🔁
↦ K. Holmén
64′
64′
🔁 Alai Ghasem
↦ E. McCue
64′
🔁 C. Swartling
↦ Antonio Yakoub
H. Ibrahim 🟨
66′
67′
🟥 M. Pahlsson
69′
🔁 B. Runheim
↦ A. Azizovic
R. Þorkelsson 🔁
↦ C. Amatkarijo
74′
77′
🟨 C. Swartling
78′
🟨 H. Shagaxle
D. Bengtsson 🔁
↦ R. Niklasson Petrovic
83′
M. de Brienne 🔁
↦ A. Čardaklija
84′
88′
🟨 B. Runheim
89′
🔁 O. Käck
↦ H. Shagaxle
4–1 E. Bećirović
89′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

GAIS

K. Sims
A. Wängberg
R. Frej
O. Ågren
A. Čardaklija
G. Lundgren
K. Holmén
H. Ibrahim
C. Amatkarijo
I. Diabate
R. Niklasson Petrovic
Bench (9)
E. Bećirović
J. Lindberg
R. Þorkelsson
D. Bengtsson
M. de Brienne
A. Henriksson
F. Beckman
R. Wendin Thomasson
V. Astor

Coach: F. Holmberg

Orebro SK

M. Påhlsson
J. Modig
E. McCue
E. Andersson
S. Kroon
H. Söderström
Lucas Shlimon
A. Azizovic
H. Shagaxle
K. Holmberg
Antonio Yakoub
Bench (9)
S. Tipura
Alai Ghasem
C. Swartling
B. Runheim
O. Käck
E. Hrastovina
L. Alperud
T. Hansemon
H. Dana

Coach: S. Kenic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Östling · 81 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.