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Ligue 2

Referee: G Paradis

Guingamp

S S T S S

0–3

Full-time

Metz

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 53%

55%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

59%

36%

Both score Ø 46%

41%

50%

Average goals

2,9

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,1

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%

15 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

9 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guingamp 5. · Metz 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	23	15	4	4	+19	49
2	Paris FC	23	13	4	6	+14	43
3	Dunkerque	23	13	3	7	+8	42
4	Metz	22	11	8	3	+18	41
5	Guingamp	22	12	2	8	+13	38
6	Annecy	22	10	6	6	+2	36
7	Laval	23	9	7	7	+7	34
8	Grenoble	23	10	4	9	+2	34
9	Bastia	23	6	13	4	+6	31
10	Pau FC	23	7	8	8	-6	29
11	Amiens	23	9	2	12	-11	29
12	Troyes	23	8	3	12	-1	27
13	Ajaccio	23	8	3	12	-9	27
14	Rodez	23	7	5	11	+0	26
15	Red Star	23	7	5	11	-15	26
16	Clermont	23	6	7	10	-7	25
17	Martigues	23	5	3	15	-25	18
18	Caen	22	4	3	15	-15	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	11	10	1	0	+19	31
2	Metz	12	8	4	0	+18	28
3	Dunkerque	12	9	0	3	+8	27
4	Grenoble	12	7	3	2	+8	24
5	Paris FC	11	7	2	2	+9	23
6	Amiens	12	7	2	3	+2	23
7	Guingamp	11	6	2	3	+13	20
8	Ajaccio	12	6	2	4	+3	20
9	Bastia	11	4	7	0	+8	19
10	Annecy	10	6	1	3	+4	19
11	Pau FC	11	5	4	2	+2	19
12	Laval	11	5	3	3	+4	18
13	Troyes	11	4	2	5	+2	14
14	Red Star	11	4	2	5	-6	14
15	Rodez	11	4	1	6	-3	13
16	Clermont	12	2	6	4	+0	12
17	Caen	12	3	2	7	-5	11
18	Martigues	12	1	1	10	-15	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	12	6	2	4	+5	20
2	Guingamp	11	6	0	5	+0	18
3	Lorient	12	5	3	4	+0	18
4	Annecy	12	4	5	3	-2	17
5	Laval	12	4	4	4	+3	16
6	Dunkerque	11	4	3	4	+0	15
7	Martigues	11	4	2	5	-10	14
8	Rodez	12	3	4	5	+3	13
9	Metz	10	3	4	3	+0	13
10	Troyes	12	4	1	7	-3	13
11	Clermont	11	4	1	6	-7	13
12	Bastia	12	2	6	4	-2	12
13	Red Star	12	3	3	6	-9	12
14	Grenoble	11	3	1	7	-6	10
15	Pau FC	12	2	4	6	-8	10
16	Ajaccio	11	2	1	8	-12	7
17	Amiens	11	2	0	9	-13	6
18	Caen	10	1	1	8	-10	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.