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Svenska Cupen

Referee: P Olofsson

Karlberg

T T U S

1–2

Full-time

Norrkoping

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlberg Norrkoping

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 29%

25%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

75%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Svenska Cupen · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

1,5

3,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Karlberg 8. · Norrkoping 25. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stockholm Internazionale	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	GAIS	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Trelleborg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	AIK	2	1	1	0	+6	4
5	Hammarby	2	1	1	0	+5	4
6	Degerfors	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Varberg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Karlberg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Skövde AIK	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	FBK Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+4	3
14	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	+3	3
16	Berga	2	1	0	1	+3	3
17	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Smedby	2	1	0	1	+3	3
19	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+2	3
20	Jonkopings Sodra	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
22	Falkenbergs FF	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	Vasteras SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Oster	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Oddevold	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Landskrona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Helsingborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Ariana	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Utsikten	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Orgryte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	IK brage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Gefle IF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Varnamo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Huddinge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Täby	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Enskede	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Nyköping	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Götaholm	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Orebro SK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Gute	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Simrishamn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Piteå	2	1	0	1	-1	3
52	Herrestads	2	1	0	1	-1	3
53	Torslanda	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	IFK Hässleholm	2	1	0	1	-2	3
55	Angelholms FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
56	Eskilsminne	2	1	0	1	-3	3
57	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
58	Järfälla	2	1	0	1	-4	3
59	Årsunda	2	1	0	1	-4	3
60	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
61	Kubikenborg	2	1	0	1	-5	3
62	Borens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Viggbyholms IK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Haga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
65	Nacka Iliria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Onsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Ostersunds FK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	IFK Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Sunnersta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Brålanda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Stegeborgs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Kristianopels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Torns	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Franke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Åstorp	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Tidaholms GoIF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Lödde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Timmernabbens	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Jönköpings BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Landvetter IS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Styrsö	1	0	0	1	-5	0
96	Forward	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stockholm Internazionale	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Torslanda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Karlberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Huddinge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Enskede	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Götaholm	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Gute	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Herrestads	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Angelholms FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Årsunda	2	1	0	1	-4	3
13	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
14	Kubikenborg	2	1	0	1	-5	3
15	AIK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Hammarby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Viggbyholms IK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Haga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Tord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Smedby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Berga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	IFK Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Sunnersta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Trollhättan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Brålanda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Stegeborgs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Kristianopels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Piteå	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Täby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Franke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Falkenbergs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Åstorp	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Ariana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Nyköping	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Tidaholms GoIF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Lödde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
49	IFK Hässleholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
50	Timmernabbens	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Jönköpings BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	Landvetter IS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-5	0
55	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-5	0
56	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-5	0
57	Styrsö	1	0	0	1	-5	0
58	Forward	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trelleborg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Degerfors	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Varberg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	AIK	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Trollhättan	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Skövde AIK	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	FBK Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Sollentuna	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Berga	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Smedby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Jonkopings Sodra	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Ariana	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
22	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Nyköping	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Vasteras SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	IFK Hässleholm	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Oster	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Oddevold	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Täby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Landskrona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Eskilsminne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Helsingborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Varnamo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Utsikten	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Orgryte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Piteå	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Simrishamn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	IK brage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Gefle IF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Tord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Järfälla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Orebro SK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Borens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Karlberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Nacka Iliria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Onsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Ostersunds FK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Torns	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.