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Süper Lig

Referee: O Ergün

Gaziantep

U S U T T

2–1

Full-time

Sivasspor

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gaziantep Sivasspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 21/22 matches

Win Ø 30%

33%

27%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

57%

55%

Both score Ø 51%

52%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,82 xG 1,12

55% Possession 45%

12 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 2

7 Offside 1

20 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gaziantep 13. · Sivasspor 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	22	19	3	0	+35	+24.0	60
2	Fenerbahce	22	17	3	2	+35	+28.3	54
3	Samsunspor	22	13	4	5	+13	+10.4	43
4	Eyüpspor	22	11	6	5	+14	+2.3	39
5	Goztep	22	10	5	7	+13	+14.2	35
6	Besiktas	21	9	8	4	+10	+9.1	35
7	Buyuksehyr	22	9	6	7	+9	+7.3	33
8	Kasimpasa	22	7	10	5	-2	-0.2	31
9	Trabzonspor	21	7	8	6	+11	-2.8	29
10	Alanyaspor	22	7	7	8	-5	-3.6	28
11	Rizespor	22	8	3	11	-11	+3.7	27
12	Antalyaspor	23	7	6	10	-16	-11.3	27
13	Gaziantep	21	7	5	9	-3	-6.0	26
14	Konyaspor	22	6	6	10	-7	-7.7	24
15	Sivasspor	22	6	5	11	-11	-16.3	23
16	Kayserispor	21	4	8	9	-19	-6.1	20
17	Bodrumspor	22	4	5	13	-14	-5.4	17
18	Hatayspor	22	1	7	14	-19	-17.0	10
19	Ad. Demirspor	23	2	3	18	-33	-23.1	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	12	10	2	0	+17	+17.2	32
2	Goztep	11	9	1	1	+19	+13.5	28
3	Fenerbahce	10	9	0	1	+15	+14.9	27
4	Trabzonspor	11	7	3	1	+17	+3.3	24
5	Eyüpspor	10	7	2	1	+13	+4.4	23
6	Samsunspor	11	7	2	2	+10	+9.6	23
7	Buyuksehyr	11	6	4	1	+16	+9.0	22
8	Gaziantep	11	6	3	2	+8	+1.0	21
9	Besiktas	10	6	2	2	+5	+7.5	20
10	Alanyaspor	11	5	3	3	+3	+3.8	18
11	Antalyaspor	11	5	3	3	-2	-3.7	18
12	Sivasspor	12	4	4	4	+1	-6.2	16
13	Rizespor	10	4	3	3	+0	+8.5	15
14	Konyaspor	10	3	5	2	+2	+1.9	14
15	Kasimpasa	11	3	4	4	-3	+3.7	13
16	Bodrumspor	11	3	3	5	+1	-0.8	12
17	Kayserispor	11	2	4	5	-10	-2.1	10
18	Hatayspor	12	1	5	6	-7	-7.0	8
19	Ad. Demirspor	12	1	1	10	-19	-10.7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	10	9	1	0	+18	+6.8	28
2	Fenerbahce	12	8	3	1	+20	+13.4	27
3	Samsunspor	11	6	2	3	+3	+0.8	20
4	Kasimpasa	11	4	6	1	+1	-3.9	18
5	Eyüpspor	12	4	4	4	+1	-2.1	16
6	Besiktas	11	3	6	2	+5	+1.7	15
7	Rizespor	12	4	0	8	-11	-4.8	12
8	Buyuksehyr	11	3	2	6	-7	-1.7	11
9	Alanyaspor	11	2	4	5	-8	-7.3	10
10	Konyaspor	12	3	1	8	-9	-9.6	10
11	Kayserispor	10	2	4	4	-9	-4.0	10
12	Antalyaspor	12	2	3	7	-14	-7.7	9
13	Goztep	11	1	4	6	-6	+0.8	7
14	Sivasspor	10	2	1	7	-12	-10.1	7
15	Trabzonspor	10	0	5	5	-6	-6.1	5
16	Gaziantep	10	1	2	7	-11	-7.0	5
17	Ad. Demirspor	11	1	2	8	-14	-12.4	5
18	Bodrumspor	11	1	2	8	-15	-4.5	5
19	Hatayspor	10	0	2	8	-12	-10.0	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.