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2. Bundesliga
Referee: P Schwengers
Elversberg
T T T U S
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elversberg Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 38%
43%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
67%
71%
Both score Ø 62%
57%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,4
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,4
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

52% Possession 48%
10 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elversberg 8. · Greuther Furth 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Koln 22 12 4 6 +8 40
2 Hamburg 21 10 8 3 +19 38
3 Magdeburg 22 10 8 4 +14 38
4 Kaiserslautern 21 11 5 5 +8 38
5 Paderborn 22 10 7 5 +8 37
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 21 9 7 5 +7 34
7 Hannover 21 9 6 6 +6 33
8 Elversberg 21 9 5 7 +8 32
9 Nurnberg 21 9 4 8 +2 31
10 Karlsruhe 21 8 6 7 -1 30
11 Greuther Furth 21 7 5 9 -10 26
12 Darmstadt 21 6 7 8 +2 25
13 Hertha 21 7 4 10 -3 25
14 Schalke 04 21 6 6 9 -3 24
15 Preußen Münster 22 4 8 10 -8 20
16 Braunschweig 21 4 6 11 -19 18
17 Ulm 21 3 8 10 -4 17
18 Regensburg 21 4 2 15 -34 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elversberg Greuther Furth
1–0 F. Asllani
T. Zimmerschied
6′
2–0 C. Sickinger
45′
Half-time 2–0
S. Şahin 🔁
↦ C. Sickinger
46′
46′
🔁 M. Dietz
↦ J. Consbruch
46′
🔁 S. Bansé
↦ R. Münz
55′
🟨 Maximilian Dietz
62′
🟨 Branimir Hrgota
Lukas Petkov 🟨
67′
67′
🔁 J. Mause
↦ D. Srbeny
67′
🔁 N. Futkeu
↦ F. Klaus
L. Schnellbacher 🔁
↦ M. Damar
75′
83′
🔁 Nemanja Motika
↦ B. Hrgota
P. Stock 🔁
↦ F. Asllani
87′
M. Feil 🔁
↦ T. Zimmerschied
89′
F. Schmahl 🔁
↦ R. Fellhauer
90′
Lukas Petkov 🟨
94′
Lukas Petkov 🟥
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Elversberg

4-2-3-1
20 N. Kristof G
2 E. Baum D
19 L. Pinckert D
31 M. Rohr D
33 M. Neubauer D
6 R. Fellhauer M
23 C. Sickinger M
25 L. Petkov M
30 M. Damar M
29 T. Zimmerschied M
10 F. Asllani F
Bench (9)
8 S. Şahin
24 L. Schnellbacher
21 P. Stock
7 M. Feil
17 F. Schmahl
3 F. Le Joncour
22 Y. Ebnoutalib
27 F. Gerezgiher
28 T. Boss

Coach: H. Steffen

Greuther Furth

3-4-2-1
44 N. Noll G
25 N. Loosli D
15 J. Quarshie D
27 G. Itter D
18 M. Meyerhöfer M
5 R. Münz M
14 J. Consbruch M
24 M. John M
10 B. Hrgota F
30 F. Klaus F
7 D. Srbeny F
Bench (9)
33 M. Dietz
6 S. Bansé
28 J. Mause
9 N. Futkeu
22 Nemanja Motika
23 G. Jung
36 P. Müller
31 L. Grill
17 N. Gießelmann

Coach: J. Siewert

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,86
U
3,88
B
3,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,53
U2,5 ✓
2,43
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Schwengers · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.