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Europa League
Referee: Nick Walsh
Malmo FF
T S U T U
0–1
Full-time
Panathinaikos
U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/7 matches
Win Ø 35%
40%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
60%
57%
Both score Ø 49%
40%
57%
Average goals
2,6
2,1
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,42 xG 1,36
57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Malmo FF Panathinaikos
Otto Rosengren 🟨
41′
43′
🟨 Manolis Siopis
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Pantovic
↦ K. Swiderski
48′
🟨 Giannis Kotsiras
56′
🟨 Pedro Chirivella
60′
🔁 A. Gnezda Cerin
↦ M. Siopis
S. Soumah 🔁
↦ E. Ekong
65′
O. Berg 🔁
↦ K. Busuladzic
65′
78′
🟨 Tetê
S. Holmquist 🔁
↦ H. Bolin
82′
82′
🔁 A. Bakasetas
↦ Tete
85′
⚽ F. Djuricic 0–1
Stefano Vecchia 🟨
88′
O. Lewicki 🔁
↦ O. Rosengren
92′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Malmo FF

4-3-3
33 M. Ellborg G
17 J. Stryger D
18 P. Jansson D
5 A. Djuric D
25 Busanello D
7 O. Rosengren M
40 K. Busuladzic M
37 A. Skogmar M
11 E. Ekong F
29 S. Haksabanovic F
38 H. Bolin F
Bench (12)
30 R. Olsen
50 J. Persson
2 J. Karlsson
6 O. Lewicki
10 A. Christiansen
13 M. Olsson
15 S. Soumah
16 O. Berg
21 S. Holmquist
46 A. Palac
48 T. Lundbergh
52 V. Karlsson

Coach: Henrik Per-Erik Rydström

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
40 A. Lafont G
27 G. Kotsiras D
14 E. Palmer-Brown D
5 A. Touba D
77 G. Kyriakopoulos D
4 P. Chirivella M
6 M. Siopis M
10 Tete M
31 F. Djuricic M
9 A. Zaroury M
19 K. Swiderski F
Bench (10)
69 B. Dragowski
70 K. Kotsaris
11 A. Bakasetas
15 S. I. Ingason
16 A. Gnezda Cerin
20 V. Taborda
26 E. Fikaj
30 A. Bregou
72 M. Pantovic
25 F. Mladenovic

Coach: Christos Kontis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.