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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Aberdeen
U S U S T
1–1
Full-time
Hibernian
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,8
This season — Premiership · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
43%
14%
Points per game
1,6
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
57%
Both score Ø 43%
29%
57%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

9 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 5
9 Corners 5
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 5. · Hibernian 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 7 6 1 0 +17 19
2 Rangers 7 6 0 1 +16 18
3 Motherwell 7 4 1 2 +3 13
4 Ross County 8 3 3 2 -1 12
5 Aberdeen 7 3 2 2 +0 11
6 Livingston 7 2 2 3 -1 8
7 Kilmarnock 7 2 2 3 -2 8
8 Hamilton 7 2 2 3 -3 8
9 Hearts 7 1 3 3 -3 6
10 St Mirren 7 1 2 4 -3 5
11 Hibernian 7 1 2 4 -10 5
12 ST Johnstone 8 0 4 4 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aberdeen Hibernian
Sam Cosgrove 🟨
40′
40′
🟨 Melker Hallberg
Half-time 0–1
48′
⚽ R. Porteous 0–1
Curtis Main 🟥
55′
J. Gallagher 🔁
↦ D. Campbell
65′
N. McGinn 🔁
↦ E. Ross
65′
71′
🔁 G. Middleton
↦ D. Horgan
78′
🔁 F. Kamberi
↦ C. Doidge
79′
🔁 J. Newell
↦ M. Hallberg
1–1 S. Cosgrove ⚽
N. McGinn
86′
Lewis Ferguson 🟥
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Aberdeen

4-4-2
1 J. Lewis G
4 A. Considine D
2 S. Logan D
3 G. Leigh D
5 S. McKenna D
11 R. Hedges M
19 L. Ferguson M
24 D. Campbell F
23 E. Ross M
9 C. Main F
16 S. Cosgrove F
Bench (7)
21 J. Gallagher
10 N. McGinn
20 T. Černý
33 Z. Vyner
6 M. Devlin
18 C. McLennan
25 B. Anderson

Coach: D. McInnes

Hibernian

4-2-3-1
28 C. Maxwell G
16 L. Stevenson D
4 P. Hanlon D
17 T. James D
25 R. Porteous D
7 D. Horgan M
23 S. Allan M
6 J. Vela M
20 M. Hallberg D
14 S. Mallan M
9 C. Doidge F
Bench (7)
19 G. Middleton
22 F. Kamberi
11 J. Newell
21 J. Naismith
1 O. Marciano
3 S. Whittaker
32 O. Shaw

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,07
U ✓
3,36
B
3,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
2,09
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.