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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Hamilton
S T S T T
1–4
Full-time
Celtic
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamilton Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
This season — Premiership · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 52%
17%
87%
Points per game
0,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
61%
65%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
2,7
3,4
Scored
1,0
2,8
Conceded
1,7
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

38% Possession 62%
3 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 15
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamilton 12. · Celtic 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 23 20 1 2 +50 61
2 Rangers 23 18 3 2 +44 57
3 Motherwell 24 13 2 9 +6 41
4 Aberdeen 24 10 8 6 +3 38
5 Livingston 24 9 7 8 +5 34
6 Hibernian 24 7 9 8 -6 30
7 Kilmarnock 24 7 5 12 -8 26
8 ST Johnstone 23 5 9 9 -21 24
9 Ross County 24 5 7 12 -27 22
10 St Mirren 24 5 6 13 -13 21
11 Hearts 24 3 9 12 -16 18
12 Hamilton 23 4 6 13 -17 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamilton Celtic
13′
🟨 Leigh Griffiths
Alexander Gogic 🟨
14′
1–0 M. Ogboe ⚽
B. Alston
27′
Jamie Hamilton 🟥
34′
35′
⚽ O. Édouard 1–1
S. Want 🔁
↦ D. Moyo
36′
Aaron McGowan 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–1
62′
🔁 R. Christie
↦ O. Ntcham
Will Collar 🟨
64′
D. Templeton 🔁
↦ W. Collar
65′
66′
🟨 Greg Taylor
S. Davies 🔁
↦ M. Ogboe
72′
73′
🔁 J. Hayes
↦ G. Taylor
76′
🔁 T. Rogić
↦ S. Welsh
78′
⚽ C. Jullien 1–2
R. Christie
81′
⚽ O. Édouard 1–3
T. Rogić
91′
⚽ J. Forrest 1–4
O. Édouard
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Hamilton

4-1-4-1
31 L. Southwood G
13 A. Gogić
3 S. McMann D
2 A. McGowan D
12 S. Woods D
40 J. Hamilton D
10 B. Alston M
25 S. Martin M
7 W. Collar M
20 D. Moyo F
99 M. Ogboe F
Bench (7)
21 S. Want
16 D. Templeton
8 S. Davies
22 K. Gourlay
6 J. Hunt
26 A. Dales
28 L. Smith

Coach: B. Rice

Celtic

3-5-2
67 F. Forster G
2 C. Jullien D
35 K. Ajer D
3 G. Taylor M
57 S. Welsh D
8 S. Brown M
49 J. Forrest M
42 C. McGregor M
21 O. Ntcham M
9 L. Griffiths F
22 O. Édouard F
Bench (7)
17 R. Christie
15 J. Hayes
18 T. Rogić
11 P. Klimala
29 S. Bain
13 M. Bauer
14 D. Arzani

Coach: N. Lennon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
14,96
U
7,26
B ✓
1,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,43
U2,5
2,72
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

N Walsh · 172 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.