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Premiership

Referee: A Muir

ST Johnstone

U T T U T

3–2

Full-time

Hamilton

T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Hamilton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

0,5

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,8

This season — Premiership · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 11%

22%

Points per game

0,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

56%

Both score Ø 44%

44%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

0,8

0,9

Conceded

2,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

20 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 2

10 Corners 3

15 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ST Johnstone 12. · Hamilton 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	9	7	1	1	+21	22
2	Rangers	9	7	1	1	+21	22
3	Motherwell	9	5	1	3	+2	16
4	Aberdeen	9	4	3	2	+3	15
5	Kilmarnock	9	4	2	3	+0	14
6	Ross County	9	3	3	3	-7	12
7	Livingston	9	3	2	4	+0	11
8	Hamilton	9	2	3	4	-8	9
9	St Mirren	9	2	2	5	-3	8
10	Hearts	9	1	4	4	-4	7
11	Hibernian	9	1	4	4	-10	7
12	ST Johnstone	9	0	4	5	-15	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	4	4	0	0	+17	12
2	Rangers	5	4	0	1	+15	12
3	Aberdeen	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Kilmarnock	5	2	2	1	+2	8
5	St Mirren	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	Ross County	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Livingston	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Hamilton	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Motherwell	5	2	0	3	-2	6
10	Hibernian	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Hearts	5	0	3	2	-2	3
12	ST Johnstone	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Celtic	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Motherwell	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Aberdeen	5	2	1	2	-1	7
5	Kilmarnock	4	2	0	2	-2	6
6	Ross County	5	1	2	2	-8	5
7	Livingston	5	1	1	3	-1	4
8	Hearts	4	1	1	2	-2	4
9	ST Johnstone	5	0	3	2	-9	3
10	Hamilton	4	0	2	2	-8	2
11	Hibernian	5	0	2	3	-10	2
12	St Mirren	4	0	0	4	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.