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Premiership
Referee: G Aitken
Aberdeen
T T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Hibernian
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
22%
44%
Points per game
0,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
44%
67%
Both score Ø 56%
67%
44%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
6 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Aberdeen 10. · Hibernian 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 9 6 2 1 +8 20
2 Hearts 9 5 4 0 +9 19
3 Dundee United 9 5 2 2 +3 17
4 Celtic 9 5 1 3 +15 16
5 Hibernian 9 4 3 2 +3 15
6 Motherwell 9 4 2 3 +0 14
7 St Mirren 9 3 4 2 -4 13
8 Livingston 10 3 1 6 -6 10
9 ST Johnstone 9 2 3 4 -3 9
10 Aberdeen 9 2 2 5 -3 8
11 Dundee 9 1 3 5 -10 6
12 Ross County 10 0 3 7 -12 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aberdeen Hibernian
1–0 C. Ramírez
C. Ramsay
27′
J. Hayes 🔁
↦ C. Ramsay
30′
33′
🟨 Darren McGregor
M. Longstaff 🔁
↦ D. Gallagher
43′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Murphy
↦ C. Cadden
Matthew Longstaff 🟨
49′
Ross McCrorie 🟨
60′
61′
🔁 S. Allan
↦ J. Gullan
Scott Brown 🟨
62′
N. McGinn 🔁
↦ M. Watkins
78′
79′
🟨 Martin Boyle
83′
🔁 D. Wright
↦ J. Doyle-Hayes
Jonny Hayes 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Joe Newell
98′
🟨 Darren McGregor
98′
🟥 Darren McGregor
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Aberdeen

4-1-3-2
1 J. Lewis G
5 D. Gallagher D
27 D. Bates D
22 C. Ramsay D
8 S. Brown M
16 F. Ojo M
2 R. McCrorie D
19 L. Ferguson M
7 M. Watkins F
9 C. Ramírez F
11 R. Hedges M
Bench (7)
17 J. Hayes
44 M. Longstaff
10 N. McGinn
15 D. McGeouch
25 G. Woods
23 A. Samuels
14 J. Emmanuel-Thomas

Coach: S. Glass

Hibernian

3-4-3
1 M. Macey G
16 L. Stevenson M
4 P. Hanlon D
24 D. McGregor D
6 P. McGinn D
27 C. Cadden M
10 M. Boyle F
11 J. Newell M
22 J. Doyle-Hayes M
15 K. Nisbet F
19 J. Gullan F
Bench (7)
18 J. Murphy
23 S. Allan
8 D. Wright
21 M. Dąbrowski
13 A. Gogić
12 N. Wood-Gordon
3 J. Doig

Coach: J. Ross

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,53
U
3,11
B
2,90
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,33
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Aitken · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.