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Bundesliga

Referee: D Pfister

Austria Vienna

S U S T U

4–1

Full-time

Ried

U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna Ried

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 23%

18%

27%

Points per game

1,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

36%

55%

Both score Ø 69%

64%

73%

Average goals

2,5

3,4

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

45% Possession 55%

13 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Austria Vienna 9. · Ried 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	11	10	1	0	+21	31
2	Sturm Graz	11	7	2	2	+14	23
3	Wolfsberger AC	11	4	3	4	-4	15
4	A. Klagenfurt	11	3	5	3	-1	14
5	Hartberg	11	3	4	4	+1	13
6	Admira	11	3	4	4	+0	13
7	Ried	11	3	4	4	-9	13
8	SK Rapid	11	3	3	5	+0	12
9	Austria Vienna	11	2	6	3	+0	12
10	LASK	11	2	4	5	-5	10
11	Altach	11	2	4	5	-8	10
12	Tirol	11	1	6	4	-9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	5	5	0	0	+13	15
2	Sturm Graz	6	4	1	1	+7	13
3	Ried	5	3	2	0	+3	11
4	SK Rapid	6	3	0	3	+3	9
5	A. Klagenfurt	5	2	3	0	+2	9
6	Admira	5	2	2	1	+5	8
7	Tirol	6	1	4	1	+0	7
8	Wolfsberger AC	6	2	1	3	-3	7
9	Austria Vienna	5	0	5	0	+0	5
10	LASK	6	1	2	3	-3	5
11	Altach	6	1	2	3	-5	5
12	Hartberg	5	1	1	3	-2	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	6	5	1	0	+8	16
2	Sturm Graz	5	3	1	1	+7	10
3	Hartberg	6	2	3	1	+3	9
4	Wolfsberger AC	5	2	2	1	-1	8
5	Austria Vienna	6	2	1	3	+0	7
6	LASK	5	1	2	2	-2	5
7	A. Klagenfurt	6	1	2	3	-3	5
8	Altach	5	1	2	2	-3	5
9	Admira	6	1	2	3	-5	5
10	SK Rapid	5	0	3	2	-3	3
11	Tirol	5	0	2	3	-9	2
12	Ried	6	0	2	4	-12	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.