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Bundesliga

Referee: C Dingert

RB Leipzig

T U S S U

4–1

Full-time

Greuther Furth

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Greuther Furth

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

2,0

0,5

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,8

This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 19%

38%

Points per game

1,4

0,1

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

63%

Both score Ø 51%

38%

63%

Average goals

3,0

3,1

Scored

2,0

0,6

Conceded

1,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

13 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 4

3 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match RB Leipzig 9. · Greuther Furth 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	6	1	1	+21	19
2	Dortmund	8	6	0	2	+8	18
3	Leverkusen	8	5	1	2	+9	16
4	Freiburg	8	4	4	0	+6	16
5	Union Berlin	8	4	3	1	+3	15
6	Mainz	9	4	1	4	+3	13
7	Wolfsburg	8	4	1	3	-1	13
8	FC Koln	8	3	3	2	-1	12
9	RB Leipzig	8	3	2	3	+8	11
10	Hoffenheim	8	3	2	3	+6	11
11	M'gladbach	8	3	2	3	-1	11
12	Stuttgart	8	2	3	3	-1	9
13	Hertha	8	3	0	5	-11	9
14	Ein Frankfurt	8	1	5	2	-3	8
15	Bochum	8	2	1	5	-11	7
16	Augsburg	9	1	3	5	-13	6
17	Bielefeld	8	0	5	3	-7	5
18	Greuther Furth	8	0	1	7	-15	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Union Berlin	5	3	2	0	+4	11
3	Mainz	5	3	1	1	+6	10
4	FC Koln	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Bayern Munich	4	3	0	1	+12	9
6	RB Leipzig	4	3	0	1	+10	9
7	Freiburg	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	M'gladbach	4	2	2	0	+3	8
9	Hoffenheim	4	2	1	1	+5	7
10	Wolfsburg	4	2	1	1	+0	7
11	Stuttgart	4	2	0	2	+3	6
12	Leverkusen	4	2	0	2	+0	6
13	Bochum	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Augsburg	4	1	1	2	-6	4
15	Hertha	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Ein Frankfurt	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Bielefeld	4	0	3	1	-4	3
18	Greuther Furth	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	+9	10
2	Leverkusen	4	3	1	0	+9	10
3	Freiburg	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Wolfsburg	4	2	0	2	-1	6
5	Hertha	5	2	0	3	-10	6
6	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-2	5
7	Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	+1	4
8	Union Berlin	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Dortmund	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Mainz	4	1	0	3	-3	3
11	M'gladbach	4	1	0	3	-4	3
12	Stuttgart	4	0	3	1	-4	3
13	Bochum	5	1	0	4	-11	3
14	RB Leipzig	4	0	2	2	-2	2
15	Bielefeld	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	FC Koln	4	0	2	2	-6	2
17	Augsburg	5	0	2	3	-7	2
18	Greuther Furth	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.