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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
Kilmarnock
T T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Dundee United
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Dundee United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 25%
23%
27%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
33%
47%
Both score Ø 40%
33%
47%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
13 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Corners 2
0 Offside 6
14 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 11. · Dundee United 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 30 26 4 0 +64 82
2 Celtic 30 19 7 4 +41 64
3 Hibernian 29 15 7 7 +15 52
4 Aberdeen 30 13 9 8 +3 48
5 Livingston 29 11 7 11 +1 40
6 St Mirren 30 9 9 12 -6 36
7 Dundee United 30 8 10 12 -15 34
8 ST Johnstone 30 8 9 13 -8 33
9 Motherwell 30 7 8 15 -20 29
10 Ross County 29 7 5 17 -31 26
11 Kilmarnock 30 7 3 20 -16 24
12 Hamilton 29 6 6 17 -28 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kilmarnock Dundee United
18′
A. Spörle 0–1
I. Harkes
28′
🔁 L. Appéré
↦ A. Spörle
Greg Kiltie 🟨
38′
45′
🟨 Jeando Fuchs
Half-time 0–1
55′
🔁 M. Connolly
↦ J. Fuchs
N. Kabamba 🔁
↦ M. Pinnock
61′
C. Burke 🔁
↦ R. McKenzie
61′
1–1 Z. Medley
K. Lafferty
64′
67′
🟨 Liam Smith
71′
🟨 Mark Connolly
83′
🔁 N. Clark
↦ L. Appéré
86′
🟨 Ian Harkes
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
16 C. Doyle G
5 K. Broadfoot D
22 R. Millen D
3 B. Haunstrup D
24 Z. Medley D
6 A. Power M
8 G. Dicker M
7 R. McKenzie M
19 M. Pinnock M
28 K. Lafferty F
10 G. Kiltie F
Bench (9)
11 N. Kabamba
29 C. Burke
9 G. Oakley
23 D. Rogers
2 A. McGowan
27 A. Tshibola
21 Y. Mulumbu
18 C. Waters
14 Z. Rossi

Coach: T. Wright

Dundee United

4-4-2
1 B. Siegrist G
6 M. Reynolds D
12 R. Edwards D
2 L. Smith D
3 A. Spörle M
17 J. Robson D
18 C. Butcher M
66 J. Fuchs M
23 I. Harkes M
9 M. McNulty F
24 L. Shankland F
Bench (9)
27 L. Appéré
5 M. Connolly
10 N. Clark
20 L. Bolton
43 K. Smith
14 F. Hoti
15 L. Chalmers
30 L. Neilson
19 D. Mehmet

Coach: M. Mellon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,34
U ✓
3,23
B
3,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,24
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.