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Premiership

Referee: G Irvine

St Mirren

T S S T U

2–1

Full-time

Dundee United

T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Dundee United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

This season — Premiership · 10/11 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

18%

Points per game

1,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

50%

55%

Both score Ø 33%

20%

45%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

1,3

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%

15 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 6

0 Offside 4

19 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Mirren 5. · Dundee United 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	11	10	0	1	+30	30
2	Rangers	10	8	1	1	+17	25
3	Hibernian	12	5	2	5	-2	17
4	Aberdeen	10	5	1	4	+5	16
5	St Mirren	10	5	1	4	-3	16
6	Livingston	10	5	0	5	-4	15
7	Hearts	11	4	2	5	-2	14
8	Motherwell	11	4	1	6	+0	13
9	ST Johnstone	12	4	1	7	-4	13
10	Kilmarnock	11	2	3	6	-11	9
11	Dundee United	11	2	3	6	-13	9
12	Ross County	11	2	3	6	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	5	5	0	0	+15	15
2	Celtic	5	5	0	0	+14	15
3	St Mirren	6	4	1	1	+4	13
4	Aberdeen	5	4	0	1	+12	12
5	Livingston	6	4	0	2	+2	12
6	Hibernian	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Hearts	5	3	0	2	+0	9
8	Kilmarnock	5	2	2	1	-3	8
9	Dundee United	6	2	0	4	-9	6
10	Ross County	6	1	2	3	-8	5
11	ST Johnstone	5	1	1	3	+0	4
12	Motherwell	5	1	1	3	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	6	5	0	1	+16	15
2	Rangers	5	3	1	1	+2	10
3	Motherwell	6	3	0	3	+4	9
4	ST Johnstone	7	3	0	4	-4	9
5	Hibernian	6	2	0	4	-5	6
6	Hearts	6	1	2	3	-2	5
7	Ross County	5	1	1	3	-5	4
8	Aberdeen	5	1	1	3	-7	4
9	Dundee United	5	0	3	2	-4	3
10	Livingston	4	1	0	3	-6	3
11	St Mirren	4	1	0	3	-7	3
12	Kilmarnock	6	0	1	5	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.