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Premiership
Referee: M MacDermid
Motherwell
S S U S U
2–1
Full-time
Hibernian
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,3
4,5
Scored
1,7
2,8
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,2
This season — Premiership · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
5,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 7. · Hibernian 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 St Mirren 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Rangers 2 1 0 1 +3 3
4 Hearts 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Kilmarnock 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Ross County 2 1 0 1 +0 3
7 Motherwell 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Dundee 2 0 1 1 -1 1
9 Aberdeen 2 0 1 1 -2 1
10 Livingston 2 0 1 1 -4 1
11 Hibernian 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 ST Johnstone 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell Hibernian
37′
🟨 Lewis Miller
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 A. Le Fondre
↦ D. Vente
46′
🔁 M. Boyle
↦ D. Levitt
M. Biereth 🔁
↦ T. Bair
55′
60′
🟨 James Jeggo
1–0 C. Wilkinson
M. Biereth
66′
68′
🟨 Joe Newell
71′
🔁 E. Henderson
↦ J. Jeggo
J. Obika 🔁
↦ C. Wilkinson
80′
2–0 M. Biereth
85′
86′
🔁 E. Melkersen
↦ L. Stevenson
86′
🔁 K. Megwa
↦ L. Miller
D. Zdravkovski 🔁
↦ C. Slattery
87′
88′
🟨 Martin Boyle
92′
ℹ️ Christian Doidge
VAR: Penalty confirmed
94′
A. Le Fondre 2–1
Blair Spittal 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Motherwell

3-5-2
1 L. Kelly G
16 P. McGinn D
5 B. Mugabi D
15 D. Casey D
2 S. O'Donnell M
8 C. Slattery M
38 L. Miller M
7 B. Spittal M
77 P. Souaré M
99 C. Wilkinson F
14 T. Bair F
Bench (9)
24 M. Biereth
9 J. Obika
17 D. Zdravkovski
13 A. Oxborough
20 S. Blaney
30 M. Ferrie
19 N. McGinley
4 R. Lamie
11 J. Efford

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Hibernian

3-5-2
1 D. Marshall G
5 W. Fish D
4 P. Hanlon D
16 L. Stevenson D
2 L. Miller M
14 J. Jeggo M
6 D. Levitt M
11 J. Newell M
21 J. Obita M
23 C. Doidge F
9 D. Vente F
Bench (9)
19 A. Le Fondre
10 M. Boyle
18 E. Henderson
20 E. Melkersen
42 K. Megwa
40 R. McAllister
26 R. Harbottle
28 A. Delferrière
25 M. Boruc

Coach: L. Johnson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,56
U
3,32
B
2,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,00
U2,5
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M MacDermid · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.