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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
St Mirren
T S T U T
1–0
Full-time
Livingston
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 12/13 matches
Win Ø 29%
42%
15%
Points per game
1,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
67%
31%
Both score Ø 48%
58%
38%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 3. · Livingston 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 13 11 2 0 +27 35
2 Rangers 12 9 0 3 +20 27
3 St Mirren 12 5 4 3 +0 19
4 Hearts 12 5 2 5 +0 17
5 Dundee 12 4 5 3 -1 17
6 Kilmarnock 13 4 4 5 +0 16
7 Hibernian 13 3 6 4 -2 15
8 Motherwell 13 3 3 7 -6 12
9 Aberdeen 11 3 3 5 -6 12
10 ST Johnstone 12 2 5 5 -10 11
11 Ross County 12 2 4 6 -10 10
12 Livingston 13 2 4 7 -12 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Sep -23 Livingston – St Mirren 1–1 1. Apr -23 St Mirren – Livingston 3–0 28. Dec -22 Livingston – St Mirren 1–1 1. Oct -22 St Mirren – Livingston 2–1 11. May -22 St Mirren – Livingston 0–0

Match report

St Mirren Livingston
0–1 S. Kelly ⚽
own goal
37′
Half-time 0–1
A. Greive 🔁
↦ J. Ayunga
60′
64′
🔁 T. Parkes
↦ S. Kelly
64′
🔁 M. Sangare
↦ A. Shinnie
C. Dunne 🔁
↦ R. Taylor
72′
82′
🔁 S. Kelly
↦ S. Pittman
Scott Tanser ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
85′
J. Bolton 🔁
↦ C. Boyd-Munce
87′
S. Nahmani 🔁
↦ M. Mandron
87′
Alexander Gogić 🟨
91′
95′
🔁 J. Brandon
↦ J. Penrice
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-5-2
1 Z. Hemming G
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
5 R. Taylor D
10 C. McMenamin M
11 G. Kiltie M
6 M. O'Hara M
15 C. Boyd-Munce M
3 S. Tanser M
7 J. Ayunga F
9 M. Mandron F
Bench (9)
21 A. Greive
18 C. Dunne
2 J. Bolton
19 S. Nahmani
27 P. Urminský
24 L. Jamieson
16 T. Small
29 G. Lennon
8 R. Flynn

Coach: S. Robinson

Livingston

3-5-2
1 S. George G
5 M. Devlin D
21 M. Nottingham D
24 S. Kelly D
19 J. Nouble M
18 J. Holt M
8 S. Pittman M
22 A. Shinnie M
29 J. Penrice M
28 K. Guthrie F
9 B. Anderson F
Bench (9)
4 T. Parkes
20 M. Sangare
10 S. Kelly
12 J. Brandon
16 S. Bradley
23 L. de Lucas
25 D. Lloyd-McGoldrick
14 M. Welch-Hayes
32 J. Hamilton

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,76
🔒
U
3,56
🔒
B
4,71
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,16
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,68
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.