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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Livingston
S U U T U
2–0
Full-time
Motherwell
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
14%
43%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,6
2,0
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
11 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Livingston 10. · Motherwell 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 7 6 1 0 +12 19
2 St Mirren 7 4 3 0 +4 15
3 Rangers 7 4 0 3 +5 12
4 Hearts 7 3 1 3 +2 10
5 Motherwell 7 3 1 3 +0 10
6 Hibernian 7 2 2 3 +1 8
7 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 +0 8
8 Kilmarnock 7 1 4 2 -1 7
9 Dundee 7 1 4 2 -3 7
10 Livingston 7 1 4 2 -6 7
11 Ross County 7 2 1 4 -6 7
12 ST Johnstone 7 0 3 4 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. May -23 Livingston – Motherwell 1–1 8. Apr -23 Motherwell – Livingston 3–0 2. Jan -23 Livingston – Motherwell 1–1 20. Aug -22 Motherwell – Livingston 1–0 9. Apr -22 Livingston – Motherwell 2–2

Match report

Livingston Motherwell
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟥 Lennon Miller
1–0 B. Anderson ⚽
D. Mackay
53′
2–0 S. Kelly ⚽
62′
67′
🔁 G. Gent
↦ S. ODonnell
67′
🔁 O. Shaw
↦ B. Mugabi
67′
🔁 C. Wilkinson
↦ T. Bair
69′
🟨 Brodie Spencer
A. Shinnie 🔁
↦ S. Kelly
72′
Jason Holt ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
76′
K. Guthrie 🔁
↦ B. Anderson
82′
S. Bradley 🔁
↦ D. Mackay
85′
85′
🔁 D. Zdravkovski
↦ H. Paton
Jason Holt 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Dan Casey
94′
🟨 Conor Wilkinson
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Livingston

3-4-1-2
1 S. George G
23 L. de Lucas D
6 A. Obileye D
24 S. Kelly D
11 D. Mackay M
18 J. Holt M
8 S. Pittman M
29 J. Penrice M
10 S. Kelly F
19 J. Nouble F
9 B. Anderson F
Bench (9)
22 A. Shinnie
28 K. Guthrie
16 S. Bradley
4 T. Parkes
35 C. Ledingham
20 M. Sangare
32 J. Hamilton
12 J. Brandon
40 S. Lawal

Coach: D. Martindale

Motherwell

3-4-3
1 L. Kelly G
16 P. McGinn D
5 B. Mugabi D
15 D. Casey D
2 S. O'Donnell M
12 H. Paton M
38 L. Miller M
22 B. Spencer M
8 C. Slattery F
14 T. Bair F
7 B. Spittal F
Bench (9)
3 G. Gent
18 O. Shaw
99 C. Wilkinson
17 D. Zdravkovski
47 L. Ross
77 P. Souaré
13 A. Oxborough
46 M. Ross
20 S. Blaney

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,77
🔒
U
3,16
🔒
B
2,60
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,21
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,65
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.