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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Hibernian
U S U S U
3–0
Full-time
Livingston
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 19%
28%
10%
Points per game
1,2
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
62%
41%
Both score Ø 50%
55%
45%
Average goals
2,9
2,4
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 2
1 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 7. · Livingston 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 29 23 1 5 +48 70
2 Celtic 29 21 5 3 +46 68
3 Hearts 29 17 4 8 +10 55
4 St Mirren 29 12 6 11 +2 42
5 Kilmarnock 29 10 11 8 +3 41
6 Dundee 29 9 9 11 -10 36
7 Hibernian 29 8 11 10 -7 35
8 Motherwell 29 7 11 11 -5 32
9 ST Johnstone 29 6 10 13 -18 28
10 Aberdeen 29 6 9 14 -16 27
11 Ross County 29 5 9 15 -24 24
12 Livingston 29 3 8 18 -29 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian Livingston
1–0 J. Obita
5′
2–0 M. Maolida
É. Youan
7′
3–0 A. Le Fondre
É. Youan
22′
24′
🟨 Tete Yengi
36′
🔁 M. Sangare
↦ S. Bradley
42′
🟨 David Carson
Half-time 3–0
46′
🟨 Cristian Montano
J. Wollacott 🔁
↦ D. Marshall
46′
46′
🔁 M. Devlin
↦ D. Carson
Jair Tavares 🔁
↦ M. Maolida
56′
N. Moriah-Welsh 🔁
↦ C. Cadden
64′
64′
🔁 B. Anderson
↦ T. Yengi
72′
🟨 Stephen Kelly
J. MacIntyre 🔁
↦ A. Le Fondre
78′
Eliezer Mayenda 🔁
↦ É. Youan
78′
80′
🔁 K. Guthrie
↦ S. Kelly
90′
🟨 Jason Holt
92′
🟨 Jamie Brandon
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-2-3-1
1 D. Marshall G
12 C. Cadden D
5 W. Fish D
33 R. Bushiri D
21 J. Obita D
23 N. Triantis M
11 J. Newell M
7 É. Youan M
20 E. Marcondes M
17 M. Maolida M
19 A. Le Fondre F
Bench (9)
13 J. Wollacott
29 Jair Tavares
30 N. Moriah-Welsh
44 J. MacIntyre
14 Eliezer Mayenda
49 R. Whittaker
16 L. Stevenson
6 D. Levitt
4 P. Hanlon

Coach: N. Montgomery

Livingston

4-1-4-1
1 S. George G
12 J. Brandon D
6 A. Obileye D
24 S. Kelly D
3 C. Montaño D
4 D. Carson M
16 S. Bradley M
18 J. Holt M
10 S. Kelly M
19 J. Nouble M
33 T. Yengi F
Bench (9)
20 M. Sangare
5 M. Devlin
9 B. Anderson
28 K. Guthrie
32 J. Hamilton
23 M. McGovern
36 S. Culbert
37 T. Sharp
2 S. Donnellan

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,51
U
4,25
B
6,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.